Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 11

Date: 15 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Morelos (Morelia)

Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)


	Atlético Morelia		Raya2 Expansión

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.62	3.75	4.7
	1.71	3.5	4.2
	1.78	3.71	4.61
	1.67	3.3	4.75
	1.78	3.58	4.3
	1.73	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.58)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	4.46 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Morelia
53.7%

Draw
25.8%

Raya2 Expansión
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.4%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

22.4%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Raya2 Expansión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raya2 Expansión than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Atlético Morelia - Raya2 Expansión Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Raya2 Expansión will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Atlético Morelia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Raya2 Expansión is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Raya2 Expansión could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético Morelia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Morelia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Morelia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.03.23	Atlético Morelia - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:2 ✺
01.03.23	Cancún - Atlético Morelia	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Atlético Morelia - Atlante	0:1 ✺
14.02.23	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético Morelia	1:1 ✺
09.02.23	Atlético Morelia - Tapatío	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTW
- Raya2 Expansión
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.03.23	Raya2 Expansión - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1 ✺
02.03.23	Atlante - Raya2 Expansión	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Raya2 Expansión - Cancún	0:0 ✺
16.02.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Raya2 Expansión	2:3 ✺
07.02.23	Raya2 Expansión - Atlético La Paz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.06.22	Raya2 Expansión - Atlético Morelia	1:0
23.01.22	Atlético Morelia - Raya2 Expansión	1:0
16.11.21	Raya2 Expansión - Atlético Morelia	0:1

Atlético Morelia - Raya2 Expansión: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide