The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Nacional 49.6%
Draw 27.3%
Independiente Santa Fe 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
27.9%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Castano S. (G) 13. Aguirre L. 8. Cardona G. 5. Cedeno S. 4. Garcia S. 9. Gonzalez M. 7. Martinez S. 20. Ocampo L. 14. Osorio K. 27. Valencia K. 15. Vidal K.
12. Velasquez Y. (G) 6. Acosta V. 16. Hernandez K. 11. Mosquera H. 3. Motta C. 4. Perez A. 10. Reyes C. 18. Silva M. 21. Valbuena K. 20. Viancha K. 7. Zamorano M.
Substitutes
31. Callejas I. (G) 16. Cordoba S. 23. Henao S. 19. Mosquera M. 10. Neira M. 21. Orozco D. 79. Restrepo K. 25. Villareal A. (G)
17. Garavito D. 24. Marcano T. 1. Martinez W. (G) 26. Posada N. 13. Robayo L. 33. Tovar L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Zamorano M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cedeno S. ↓, Neira M. ↑,
61', Gonzalez M. ↓, Restrepo K. ↑,
66', Martinez S. 🟨,
69', Hernandez K. ↓, Garavito D. ↑,
69', Silva M. ↓, Marcano T. ↑,
76', Valencia K. ↓, Mosquera M. ↑,
78', Garavito D. 🟨,
83', Reyes C. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
83', Mosquera H. ↓, Posada N. ↑,
83', Viancha K. ↓, Robayo L. ↑,
89', Martinez S. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Mosquera M. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2.
Atlético Nacional has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In this match, Atlético Nacional is the team to beat.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).