The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Bucaramanga 12.5%
Draw 18.5%
Atlético Nacional 69%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.7%
17.1%
69.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.2%
16.5%
71.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Montanez A. (G) 21. Bedoya I. 9. Camacho J. (C) 7. Garzon K. 8. Garzon S. 2. Laguado D. 6. Lopez M. 77. Parada J. 16. Pineda S. 5. Pineda V. 19. Sarmiento S.
13. Aguirre L. 8. Cardona G. (C) 5. Cedeno S. 9. Gonzalez M. 7. Martinez S. 19. Mosquera M. 20. Ocampo L. 14. Osorio K. 12. Ospino Serna S. 79. Restrepo K. 15. Vidal K.
Substitutes
22. Bello M. 10. Lopez M. 26. Martinez M. 12. Quiroga S. (G) 14. Rodriguez D. 4. Velasquez L.
16. Cordoba S. 23. Henao S. 10. Neira M. 18. Sterling M. 25. Villareal A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Restrepo K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Parada J. ↓, Velasquez L. ↑,
46', Bedoya I. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Osorio K. ⚽,
61', 0 - 3, Osorio K. ⚽,
68', Restrepo K. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
68', Cardona G. ↓, Sterling M. ↑,
68', Cedeno S. ↓, Neira M. ↑,
69', Laguado D. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
75', Osorio K. 🟨,
77', Neira M. 🟨,
79', Camacho J. 🟨,
82', 0 - 4, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
83', Gonzalez M. ↓, Henao S. ↑,
84', Garzon S. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
84', Velasquez L. ↓, Bello M. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0.
Bucaramanga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Atlético Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 0:15. (average 0:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).