The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Nacional 59.1%
Draw 24.4%
Once Caldas 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
24.1%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
22.5%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Atlético Nacional - Once Caldas Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ospina D. (G) 27. Asprilla D. 21. Campuzano J. 13. Candido C. 10. Cardona E. 28. Garcia S. 18. Hinestroza M. 6. Roman A. 29. Sarmiento A. 16. Tesillo W. 8. Uribe M.
35. Parra J. (G) 7. Barrios M. 34. Cardona J. 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 19. Garcia M. 88. Mejia R. 18. Riquett J. 5. Rojas I. 30. Tamayo K. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A. 28. Zuleta M.
Substitutes
31. Batioja A. 19. Batista F. 30. Bauza J. 33. Caicedo R. 15. Castillo H. (G) 38. Rengifo J. 26. Rivero E. 17. Salazar A. 36. Uribe C.
12. Aguirre J. (G) 23. Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 9. Gomez P. 92. Ibarguen A. 3. Malagon J. 24. Palacios L. 70. Quinones D. 32. Rojas T. 27. Villada K.
Coaches
Arias D.
Herrera H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Sarmiento A. ⚽,
43', Riquett J. 🟨,
45', Asprilla D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rojas I. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
57', Cardona E. 🟥,
69', Garcia M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
69', Cuesta Santos J. D. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
69', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Ibarguen A. ↑,
73', Sarmiento A. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
73', Hinestroza M. ↓, Bauza J. ↑,
82', Asprilla D. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Salazar A. ⚽,
90', Uribe M. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 4.
Atlético Nacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Once Caldas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético Nacional is a strong favorite.
We predict that Atlético Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 1.4:0.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Nacional - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.58%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
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Ospina D. (G) 
Candido C. 
Bauza J. 
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