Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)

Referee: Montano W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Llaneros SA		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.98	3.7	2.18	Watch
	3.11	3.55	2.26
	2.94	3.55	2.26	Watch
	3	3.25	2.2
	3.23	3.41	2.14	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.85)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	2.25 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
31%

Draw
27.3%

Once Caldas
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.3%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Llaneros SA - Once Caldas Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Once Caldas (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ortega M. (G) 4. Pertuz J. 23. Moralez A. 21. Meza F. (C) 26. Quintero D. 10. Ospina N. 35. Caicedo K. 77. Rincon K. 95. Jhon Vasquez 9. Cortes C. 7. Miranda L.	99. Parra J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 16. Castano J. 2. Cardona J. 30. Tamayo K. 88. Mejia R. 15. Alvarado J. 10. Sanchez L. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A. 17. Moreno D. (C) 9. Gomez P.
Substitutes
15. Blanco J. 99. Castro J. 33. Kelvin Osorio 14. Laszo E. 11. Marimon L. 8. Ramirez J. 22. Romana Garavito R. (G) 6. Sierra M. 3. Vidal V.	12. Aguirre J. (G) 7. Barrios M. 8. Beltran J. 23. Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 21. Guzman H. 33. Patino J. 42. Quinones J. 19. Rojas T. 28. Zuleta M.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Herrera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽,
40', Gomez P. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Rincon K. ⚽,
45', Rincon K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gomez P. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
46', Alvarado J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
52', Rincon K. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
64', Caicedo K. 🟨,
66', Moreno D. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
68', Cortes C. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
68', Miranda L. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
74', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
77', Quinones J. 🟨,
80', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Guzman H. ↑,
84', Sanchez L. ↓, Beltran J. ↑,
86', Caicedo K. ↓, Marimon L. ↑,
86', Ospina N. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
89', Pertuz J. 🟨,
90+1', Zuleta M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

Llaneros SA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Once Caldas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Llaneros SA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Llaneros SA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Once Caldas	13	4	4	5	16:16	0	16
12	Llaneros	13	4	2	7	15:17	-2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
25.03.26	América de Cali - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Llaneros SA - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
13.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Llaneros SA - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Llaneros SA - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLWT
- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
21.03.26	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:4 ✺
18.03.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto	4:2 ✺
06.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
19.10.25	Llaneros SA - Once Caldas	2:0
27.03.25	Once Caldas - Llaneros SA	1:0

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