Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Alfonso Lastras (San Luis Potosí)

Referee: Garcia L. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Atlético San Luis		UNAM

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.15	Watch
	2.92	3.55	2.22
	3.04	3.77	2.34
	3.01	3.8	2.19
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	3.26	3.61	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.7)	3.59 ↑ (3.32)	2.22 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético San Luis
31.4%

Draw
26.2%

UNAM
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.5%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.7%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Atlético San Luis - UNAM Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). UNAM will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez A. (G) 2. Torres R. 6. Juanpe 31. Aguila E. 18. Cruz A. 5. Meraz R. 21. Macias O. 28. Medina J. 26. Perez S. 10. Salles-Lamonge S. 9. Joao Pedro Galvao (C)	1. Navas K. (C) 7. Lopez R. 6. Nathan Silva 24. Leone T. 45. Vite P. 22. Medina A. 21. Antuna U. 28. Carrasquilla A. 77. Angulo A. 31. Morales R. 23. Juninho
Substitutes
17. Duarte A. 20. Flores L. 7. Galdames B. 30. Galindo B. 14. Garcia M. 34. Lajud G. (G) 15. Lucas Esteves 19. Munoz S. 3. Robson Bambu 11. Rodriguez D.	215. Azuaje A. 2. Bennevendo P. 33. Carrillo J. 5. Duarte R. 14. Garza C. 35. Lara P. (G) 9. Martinez G. 26. Rico A. 19. Rivas J. 20. Trigos S.
Coaches
Abascal G.	Juarez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Juninho (Penalty Awarded),
43', Medina A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Perez S. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
57', Antuna U. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
64', Meraz R. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
64', Medina J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
67', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
71', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
71', Lopez R. ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
77', Macias O. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
79', Juninho ↓, Garza C. ↑,
86', Sanchez A. 🟨,
87', 0 - 2, Carrillo J. ⚽,
88', Cruz A. ↓, Lucas Esteves ↑,
90+8', Navas K. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 2.

Atlético San Luis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UNAM is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in UNAM: Macias J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.5:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12
14	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	14:18	-4	12

Last Results with these Odds

UNAM - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.86%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX
12.04.26	Toluca - Atlético San Luis	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Monterrey - Atlético San Luis	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético San Luis - Club León	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Atlético San Luis - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Cruz Azul - Atlético San Luis	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWLTL
- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
12.04.26	UNAM - Mazatlan	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	UNAM - Club América	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	UNAM - Cruz Azul	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Necaxa - UNAM	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
22.10.25	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	0:1
02.02.25	Atlético San Luis - UNAM	2:3
20.10.24	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	3:0
19.01.24	Atlético San Luis - UNAM	3:1
17.09.23	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	3:2
09.04.23	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	3:1
18.08.22	Atlético San Luis - UNAM	3:2

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