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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 65.6%
Draw 20.4%
Atlético San Luis 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.5%
21.3%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.6%
19.7%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Cruz Azul - Atlético San Luis Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5 - Atlético San Luis (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético San Luis (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gudino A. (G) 4. Ditta W. (C) 17. Garcia A. 33. Piovi G. 3. Campos O. 8. Palavecino A. 16. Marquez J. 29. Rotondi C. 20. Paradela J. 18. Romero L. 7. Ibanez N.
1. Sanchez A. (G) 2. Torres R. 30. Galindo B. 6. Juanpe 31. Aguila E. 15. Lucas Esteves 28. Medina J. 21. Macias O. 10. Salles-Lamonge S. 14. Garcia M. 9. Joao Pedro Galvao (C)
Substitutes
209. Diaz J. 11. Ebere C. 21. Fernandez G. 6. Lira E. 10. Montano A. 194. Morales A. 30. Ochoa E. (G) 22. Rodarte J. 19. Rodriguez C. 239. Valdez D.
25. Barajas F. 18. Cruz A. 4. Dominguez J. 20. Flores L. 7. Galdames B. 34. Lajud G. (G) 5. Meraz R. 19. Munoz S. 26. Perez S. 11. Rodriguez D.
Coaches
Larcamon N.
Abascal G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Palavecino A. ⚽, Ibanez N. (A),
26', Sanchez A. ↓, Lajud G. ↑,
31', Lucas Esteves 🟨,
36', Lajud G. 🟨,
45+2', Aguila E. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Garcia M. ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
53', Ditta W. 🟨,
57', Marquez J. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
65', Ibanez N. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
66', Paradela J. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Fernandez G. ⚽, Palavecino A. (A),
68', Medina J. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
68', Macias O. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Montano A. ⚽, Fernandez G. (A),
73', Campos O. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
73', Palavecino A. ↓, Lira E. ↑,
77', Torres R. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
88', Lira E. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 4.
Cruz Azul has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Atlético San Luis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Cruz Azul is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Cruz Azul: Mier K.
(Injury)
Orozco J.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
We predict that Cruz Azul will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).
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Gudino A. (G) 
Ditta W. (C) 
Piovi G. 
Juanpe 
Lucas Esteves 
Medina J. 
Salles-Lamonge S. 
Joao Pedro Galvao (C) 
Ebere C. 
Fernandez G. 
Rodriguez D. 
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