Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rosario I. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	19:15	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Usa	21:15	TUDN App, TUDN


	UNAM		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.6	2.25	Watch
	3.40	3.60	2.00
	3.45	3.55	1.93	Watch
	3.01	3.61	2.37
	3.59	3.61	2.01	Watch
	2.95	3.55	2.3
	3.1	3.4	2.16	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.29)	3.55 ↓ (3.66)	2.17 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAM
29.9%

Draw
26.5%

Cruz Azul
43.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.7%

25.8%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

25.2%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

UNAM - Cruz Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - UNAM (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Navas K. (C) 7. Lopez R. 6. Nathan Silva 5. Duarte R. 2. Bennevendo P. 21. Antuna U. 8. Carrasquilla A. 45. Vite P. 10. Huerta Valera C. S. 31. Morales R. 23. Juninho	23. Mier K. (G) 22. Rodarte J. 4. Ditta W. 5. Orozco J. 3. Campos O. 16. Marquez J. 6. Lira E. (C) 19. Rodriguez C. 7. Ibanez N. 8. Palavecino A. 21. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
77. Angulo A. 18. Arteaga V. 34. Azuaje A. 14. Herrera L. 35. Lara P. (G) 24. Leone T. 30. Lopez S. 15. Luna I. 22. Medina A. 19. Rivas J.	14. Calero J. 60. Castro A. 11. Ebere C. 17. Garcia A. 1. Gudino A. (G) 10. Montano A. 12. Montes A. 2. Mozo A. 33. Piovi G. 18. Romero L.
Coaches
Solari E.	Huiqui J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽, Huerta Valera C. S. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Huerta Valera C. S. ⚽, Juninho (A),
26', Huerta Valera C. S. 🟨,
30', Palavecino A. 🟨,
37', Huerta Valera C. S. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 1, Palavecino A. ⚽, Rodarte J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rodarte J. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
46', Juninho ↓, Medina A. ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Morales R. ⚽,
64', 3 - 2, Montano A. ⚽,
65', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Leone T. ↑,
66', Lopez R. ↓, Arteaga V. ↑,
69', Nathan Silva ↓, Azuaje A. ↑,
69', Marquez J. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
77', Vite P. ↓, Herrera L. ↑,
82', Ditta W. ↓, Mozo A. ↑,
82', Fernandez G. ↓, Calero J. ↑,
85', 3 - 3, Ebere C. ⚽, Ibanez N. (A),
87', Rodriguez C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13th and 7th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.

Recent results have been tough for UNAM (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cruz Azul has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

UNAM may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cruz Azul holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for UNAM: Cordova S. (Knee Injury) Macias J. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Cruz Azul: Levy M. (Knee Injury) Mier K. (International duty) Morales A. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for UNAM: Calderon C. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Cruz Azul: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Rotondi C. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, UNAM has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:32 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for UNAM against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 15:17 goals (averaging 1.4:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cruz Azul	13	7	2	4	29:22	7	23
12	UNAM Pumas	14	4	5	5	20:23	-3	17

Last Results with these Odds

UNAM - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.73%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
27.09.26	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	2:3 ✺
19.09.26	Atlas - UNAM	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	3:0 ✺
10.09.26	UNAM - Club León	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Tijuana - UNAM	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLWL
- Cruz Azul FC
Mexican Liga MX
26.09.26	Cruz Azul - Toluca	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Monterrey - Cruz Azul	1:0 ✺
Campeones Cup
16.09.26	Inter Miami - Cruz Azul	2:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
12.09.26	Cruz Azul - Club América	4:3 ✺
06.09.26	Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
24.05.26	UNAM - Cruz Azul	1:2
21.05.26	Cruz Azul - UNAM	0:0
14.03.26	UNAM - Cruz Azul	2:2
08.11.25	Cruz Azul - UNAM	2:3
05.04.25	Cruz Azul - UNAM	3:2
26.10.24	UNAM - Cruz Azul	0:2
12.05.24	Cruz Azul - UNAM	2:2

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