The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Necaxa 33.8%
Draw 26.8%
UNAM 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
26.5%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
27.4%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Necaxa's form might have worsened.
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UNAM's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Necaxa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UNAM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.9%
5.9%
88.2%
Necaxa - UNAM Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). UNAM will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 72.9% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - UNAM (1.69) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
DNB - UNAM (1.71) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): UNAM will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 7.1%). UNAM (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Unsain E. (G) 33. Martinez R. 4. Pena A. (C) 3. Oliveros A. 7. Rosero K. 5. Gutierrez K. 6. Leyva D. 24. Rossano F. 8. Faravelli L. 9. Badaloni T. 35. Ruiz J.
1. Navas K. (C) 7. Lopez R. 6. Nathan Silva 215. Azuaje A. 77. Angulo A. 22. Medina A. 28. Carrasquilla A. 45. Vite P. 33. Carrillo J. 23. Juninho 31. Morales R.
Substitutes
232. Alonso R. 16. Calderon C. 189. Casas B. 17. Cortez R. 12. Jimenez L. (G) 26. Lara E. 20. Mendez F. 30. Monreal R. 197. Moreno A. 188. Tello I.
21. Antuna U. 2. Bennevendo P. 5. Duarte R. 14. Garza C. 35. Lara P. (G) 24. Leone T. 9. Martinez G. 26. Rico A. 19. Rivas J. 20. Trigos S.
Coaches
Varini M.
Juarez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Pena A. ↓, Lara E. ↑,
19', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Ruiz J. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
63', Medina A. 🟨,
67', Juninho ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
68', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
78', Carrillo J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
82', Lara E. 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽, Carrasquilla A. (A),
89', Medina A. ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
89', Morales R. ↓, Garza C. ↑,
89', Gutierrez K. ↓, Tello I. ↑,
89', Rossano F. ↓, Casas B. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.
Necaxa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
UNAM is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in UNAM: Macias J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in UNAM: Trigos S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).
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Unsain E. (G) 
Martinez R. 
Oliveros A. 
Rosero K. 
Leyva D. 
Navas K. (C) 
Nathan Silva 
Carrasquilla A. 
Vite P. 
Morales R. 
Duarte R. 
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