Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 22

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Tordesillas		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.9	4.2
	1.86	3	4.3
	1.96	3.16	4.32
	1.82	3.11	4.63	Watch
	1.94	3.01	4.53
	1.86	3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.26)	3.03 ↓ (3.03)	4.38 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tordesillas
48.8%

Draw
30.3%

Atlético Astorga
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.9%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tordesillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Tordesillas's performance.

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Astorga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Tordesillas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Astorga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Mas C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Torres J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tordesillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
26.01.25	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Becerril	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Villaralbo - Atlético Tordesillas	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Briviesca	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWLW
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.01.25	Atlético Astorga - Bembibre	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Arandina - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Astorga	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Astorga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
21.09.24	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1
03.02.24	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Tordesillas	0:0
17.09.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Astorga	3:1
06.05.23	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Tordesillas	3:1
30.04.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Astorga	1:0
05.03.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Astorga	0:0
29.10.22	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Tordesillas	1:0

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