The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Vinotinto 69.3%
Draw 18.3%
22 de Julio 12.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.4%
28%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
27.2%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Vinotinto's performance.
22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 22 de Julio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Vinotinto that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 22 de Julio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
22.2%
22.2%
Atlético Vinotinto - 22 de Julio Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Atlético Vinotinto will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). 22 de Julio will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Vinotinto: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. 22 de Julio (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Vargas P. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Conforme W. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Vargas P. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', 4 - 0, Vargas P. ⚽,
49', 5 - 0, Pincay C. ⚽,
55', 6 - 0, ⚽,
84', 7 - 0, ⚽,
90', 8 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
Atlético Vinotinto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
22 de Julio is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
22 de Julio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlético Vinotinto is the obvious favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.