Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	Atlanta United		Houston Dynamo

	1	X	2
	2.1	4	3	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.75
	2.05	4	3.3	Watch
	2.19	3.85	3.23
	2.15	3.85	3.23
	2.1	3.75	3.1
	2.12	3.84	3.13	Watch
	2.05	3.8	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.93)	3.84 ↑ (3.68)	3.24 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United
45.7%

Draw
24.8%

Houston Dynamo
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	46.7%	26.7%

Atlanta United - Houston Dynamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Houston will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guzan B. (C) 11. Lennon B. 24. Cobb N. 3. Williams D. 26. Wiley C. 8. Muyumba T. 13. McCarty D. 16. Silva X. 10. Almada T. 20. Mosquera E. 19. Rios D.	12. Clark S. (G) 25. Dorsey G. 28. Sviatchenko E. 31. Micael 2. Escobar F. 6. Artur 16. Herrera H. (C) 20. Carrasquilla A. 8. Bassi A. 18. Aliyu I. 27. Kowalczyk S.
Substitutes
25. Brennan L. 22. Cohen J. (G) 35. Fortune A. 2. Hernandez R. 21. Morales E. 30. Nick Firmino 29. Thiare J. 31. Westberg Q. (G)	4. Bartlow E. 15. Blessing L. 11. Ferreira S. 21. Gregus J. 35. Raines B. 22. Schmitt T. 3. Smith B. 5. Steres D. 13. Tarbell A. (G)
Coaches
Valentino R.	Olsen B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Escobar F. ⚽,
8', Silva X. 🟨,
18', Mosquera E. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
25', 1 - 1, Rios D. ⚽,
42', Escobar F. 🟨,
44', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Aliyu I. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Silva X. ⚽, Wiley C. (A), Almada T. (A2)
58', Micael 🟨,
67', Aliyu I. ↓, Blessing L. ↑,
76', Rios D. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
76', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Ferreira S. ↑,
76', Sviatchenko E. ↓, Schmitt T. ↑,
80', Silva X. ↓, Fortune A. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Blessing L. ⚽, Carrasquilla A. (A), Dorsey G. (A2)
90+7', Bassi A. ↓, Bartlow E. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Atlanta will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Atlanta: Wolff T. (Injury)

There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United
MLS
02.06.24	Atlanta United - Charlotte	2:3 ✺
29.05.24	Inter Miami - Atlanta United	1:3 ✺
25.05.24	Atlanta United - Los Angeles	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.24	Charleston Battery - Atlanta United	0:1 penalties ✺
MLS
18.05.24	Nashville SC - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWLWT
- Houston Dynamo
MLS
01.06.24	Portland Timbers - Houston Dynamo	2:2 ✺
29.05.24	Houston Dynamo - Colorado Rapids	3:1 ✺
25.05.24	Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Houston Dynamo - FC Dallas	1:1 ✺
15.05.24	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
17.07.19	Atlanta United - Houston Dynamo	5:0
03.03.18	Houston Dynamo - Atlanta United	4:0
20.05.17	Atlanta United - Houston Dynamo	4:1

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