The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austin FC 34.9%
Draw 27.8%
Houston Dynamo 37.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
27.3%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
26.6%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austin FC's form might have worsened.
Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Houston Dynamo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
10%
70%
Austin FC - Houston Dynamo Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Houston will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 3. Desler M. 4. Hines-Ike B. 5. Svatok O. 29. Guilherme Biro 11. Torres F. 6. Sanchez I. (C) 30. Rosales J. 7. Nelson J. 10. Uzuni M. 21. Ramirez C.
31. Bond J. (G) 28. Sviatchenko E. 34. Resch A. 13. Vines S. 11. Ennali L. 6. Artur (C) 16. Herrera H. 36. Felipe Andrade 20. Guilherme 19. Bogusz M. 10. Ponce E.
Substitutes
15. Bell J. 35. Djordjevic M. 20. Dubersarsky N. 19. Fodrey C. 17. Gallagher J. 23. Kolmanic Z. 12. Las D. (G) 14. Sabovic B. 38. Torres E.
24. Aliyu I. 3. Antonio Carlos 30. Bouzat A. 14. Holmes D. 17. Markanich N. 1. Maurer J. (G) 8. McGlynn J. 21. Negri F. 18. Samassekou D.
Coaches
Estevez N.
Olsen B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Nelson J. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
27', Hines-Ike B. 🟨,
40', Nelson J. ↓, Gallagher J. ↑,
45+1', Artur 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Uzuni M. ⚽, Rosales J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Resch A. ↓, Antonio Carlos ↑,
55', Vines S. ↓, McGlynn J. ↑,
55', Artur ↓, Samassekou D. ↑,
59', Rosales J. 🟨,
65', Sanchez I. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
66', Ramirez C. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
70', Desler M. 🟨,
72', Torres F. 🟨,
75', Herrera H. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
80', Ennali L. 🟨,
82', Felipe Andrade ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
83', Guilherme Biro ↓, Bell J. ↑,
84', Torres F. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2.
Austin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Houston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Austin has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Austin won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 2.1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Houston Dynamo - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.23%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Stuver B. (G) 
Desler M. 
Svatok O. 
Guilherme Biro 
Torres F. 
Sanchez I. (C) 
Rosales J. 
Nelson J. 
Uzuni M. 
Bond J. (G) 
Resch A. 
Ennali L. 
Herrera H. 
Bogusz M. 
Bell J. 
Djordjevic M. 
Gallagher J. 
Kolmanic Z. 
Sabovic B. 
Aliyu I. 
Samassekou D. 
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