Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park (Albuquerque, NM)

Referee: Arroyo L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	New Mexico United		Birmingham Legion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.4	3.7
	1.85	3.6	3.75
	1.84	3.7	4.01
	1.82	3.67	4.09	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.75
	1.83	3.67	3.97	Watch
	1.84	3.5	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.92)	3.58 ↑ (3.44)	3.85 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Mexico United
50.4%

Draw
25.7%

Birmingham Legion
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

New Mexico United - Birmingham Legion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tambakis A. (C) 15. Astorga A. 4. Herbert A. 12. Maples T. 3. Gloster C. 91. Houssou N. 19. Bailey Z. 27. Flanagan A. 11. Akale M. 7. Rivas S. 17. Hurst G.	18. Spangenberg T. (G) 14. Dodson D. 21. Crognale A. 3. Kavita P. (C) 33. Mensah M. 10. Kassim P. 19. Martinez E. 13. Rufe J. 4. Hamouda R. 11. McCartney D. 23. Preston T.
Substitutes
25. Bruce D. 47. DuBois J. 5. Harris D. 10. Micaletto M. 22. Ryden K. 16. Seymore W. 13. Shakes K. (G)	8. Hernandez-Foster K. 20. Paterson AJ 28. Perez M. 29. Stefano Pinho 1. Van Oekel M. (G)
Coaches
Quill E.	Soehn T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Hamouda R. 🟨,
20', Gloster C. ↓, Seymore W. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rufe J. ↓, Hernandez-Foster K. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Rivas S. ⚽, Akale M. (A),
65', Bailey Z. 🟨,
66', Maples T. 🟨,
68', Flanagan A. ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,
74', Hamouda R. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
74', McCartney D. ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,
78', Kassim P. ↓, Paterson AJ ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Paterson AJ ⚽, Hernandez-Foster K. (A),
81', Tambakis A. 🟨,
85', Akale M. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
85', Bailey Z. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match New Mexico is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Mexico United
US Open Cup
10.07.24	Los Angeles - New Mexico United	3:1 ✺
USL Championship
03.07.24	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	San Antonio - New Mexico United	2:3 ✺
22.06.24	New Mexico United - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	Memphis 901 - New Mexico United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWL
- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
17.07.24	Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island	1:3 ✺
13.07.24	Birmingham Legion - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:1 ✺
05.07.24	Charleston Battery - Birmingham Legion	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	Birmingham Legion - Louisville City	1:4 ✺
26.06.24	Detroit City - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
10.09.23	Birmingham Legion - New Mexico United	1:0
25.06.22	New Mexico United - Birmingham Legion	0:2

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