Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ)

Referee: Matto J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	AZFS, CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	Phoenix Rising		Birmingham Legion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.38	3.5	2.55
	2.41	3.75	2.71
	1.17	7.40	12.40	Watch
	2.44	3.35	2.62	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.86)	4.09 ↑ (3.39)	4.2 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
49%

Draw
25.8%

Birmingham Legion
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

26.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Phoenix Rising - Birmingham Legion Predictions

Users Predictions: Phoenix Rising will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Phoenix Rising will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rakovsky P. (C) 88. Rizzo P. 51. Essengue A. 23. Flood R. 14. Cuello E. 6. Sainte C. F. 12. Dennis C. 80. Emmers X. 10. Avayevu H. 22. Johnson D. 9. Sacko I.	57. Delgado F. (G) 14. Shashoua S. 20. Paterson AJ 43. Suarez S. 4. Hamouda R. 24. Howell M. 17. Laszo E. 15. Pasher T. (C) 19. Martinez E. 21. Tregarthen S. 9. Damus R.
Substitutes
35. Balanzar A. 45. Capetillo A. 29. Formella D. 13. Henry T. (G) 8. Okello N. 44. Ping J. 19. Rivera D. 76. Shaw T. (G)	11. McCartney D. 6. McIllhatton S. 10. Preston T. 13. Rufe J. 23. Saucedo S. 25. Torres R. 2. Turnbull S. 1. Van Oekel M. (G)
Coaches
Kah P.	Briggs M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Cuello E. ⚽, Avayevu H. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Avayevu H. ⚽, Sacko I. (A),
26', Laszo E. 🟨,
30', Laszo E. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
39', 2 - 1, Pasher T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 2 - 2, Tregarthen S. ⚽, Shashoua S. (A),
65', 2 - 3, Martinez E. ⚽,
70', Shashoua S. 🟨,
71', Emmers X. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
71', Sainte C. F. ↓, Okello N. ↑,
74', Hamouda R. ↓, McCartney D. ↑,
75', Shashoua S. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
75', Rizzo P. ↓, Ping J. ↑,
76', Howell M. 🟨,
83', Rivera D. 🟨,
84', Tregarthen S. ↓, Turnbull S. ↑,
85', Damus R. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
89', Cuello E. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 3, Dennis C. ⚽, Avayevu H. (A),
90+4', Delgado F. 🟨,
90+7', Okello N. 🟨,
90+8', Ping J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Phoenix Rising may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
30.07.25	Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising	4:1 ✺
USL Cup
19.07.25	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
12.07.25	Oakland Roots - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Phoenix Rising - Lexington	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	Texoma - Phoenix Rising	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLW
- Birmingham Legion
USL Cup
26.07.25	Birmingham Legion - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
19.07.25	Birmingham Legion - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:1 ✺
11.07.25	North Carolina - Birmingham Legion	2:3 ✺
05.07.25	Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion	1:1 ✺
02.07.25	Birmingham Legion - Charleston Battery	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
09.03.24	Phoenix Rising - Birmingham Legion	0:1
09.04.23	Birmingham Legion - Phoenix Rising	1:2
04.06.22	Phoenix Rising - Birmingham Legion	0:1

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