Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA)

Referee: Corbyn M. (Usa)


	Monterey Bay		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.2
	2	3.5	3.4
	2	3.61	3.47
	1.99	3.54	3.39	Watch
	1.94	3.5	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)	3.51 (3.51)	3.36 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
46.5%

Draw
26.2%

Indy Eleven
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Siaha A. (G) 3. Doner M. 30. Greene K. (C) 4. Lara A. 5. Guzman C. 15. Dixon A. 13. Fehr M. 7. Rebollar A. 19. Enriquez J. 9. Trager T. 31. Boone C.	0. Sulte H. (G) 2. O'Brien J. 30. Ofeimu B. 15. Arturo Diz 3. Stanley A. 13. Guenzatti S. 6. Lindley C. (C) 8. Blake J. 42. Martinez D. 9. Williams A. 20. Mines B.
Substitutes
17. Archimede L. 64. Ayon J. 32. Gallaway P. 50. Gnaulati X. 18. Gonzalez M. 21. Herrera C. (G) 12. Robinson G.	18. Collier E. 22. Gibson T. 17. Ikoba T. 21. O'Brien E. 1. Oettl Y. (G) 34. Schneider M. 16. Wootton L.
Coaches
Yallop F.	McAuley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Williams A. ↓, Ikoba T. ↑,
64', Guenzatti S. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
67', Rebollar A. ↓, Ayon J. ↑,
67', Trager T. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
71', Stanley A. 🟨,
74', Arturo Diz 🟨,
74', 🟨,
75', Archimede L. 🟨,
76', Martinez D. ↓, Gibson T. ↑,
87', Fehr M. 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Collier E. ⚽,
90', Enriquez J. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
90+2', Blake J. 🟨,
90+2', Blake J. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Monterey Bay is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Indy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monterey Bay will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Monterey Bay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
27.04.24	Orange County SC - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Memphis 901 - Monterey Bay	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Monterey Bay - Irvine Zeta	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
13.04.24	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWWWW
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
27.04.24	Indy Eleven - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Chicago Fire II - Indy Eleven	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
13.04.24	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	2:4 ✺
06.04.24	Louisville City - Indy Eleven	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
22.04.23	Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay	2:3
17.09.22	Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven	5:0

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