Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca (Oaxaca de Juárez)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Alebrijes de Oaxaca		Tlaxcala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.3	2.58
	2.57	3.35	2.81
	2.51	3.44	2.66	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.63
	2.43	3.18	2.61	Watch
	2.45	3.14	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.16)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	2.65 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
37%

Draw
28.3%

Tlaxcala
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

27.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alebrijes de Oaxaca's form might have worsened.

Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Tlaxcala (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tlaxcala (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Gonzalez Arriaga O. A. (G) 4. Alvarez K. (C) 20. Ayala D. 13. Barreda I. 33. Cortes J. 5. Esqueda Romero J. A. 11. Mascorro H. 29. Meza S. 8. Morales F. 2. Vazquez Garza H. A. 14. Vazquez Hernandez A.	29. Espinoza G. (G) 19. Castaneda S. 17. Castillo E. 9. Christian 10. Figueroa F. 2. Gonzalez P. 1. Govea I. 7. Hernandez E. 24. Robles E. 3. Santos E. 31. Silva J. (C)
Substitutes
6. Arellano A. 177. Bustos J. 10. Cruz J. 19. Fadika B. 21. Franco J. 24. Garcia L. 23. Hernandez A. 7. Lopez D. 1. Rodas C. (G) 12. Tamay A.	26. Blanco J. 18. Buganza F. 6. Iniestra A. 12. Lazaro J. 33. Martinez D. 13. Mendoza H. (G) 11. Salomon O. 20. Sanchez A. 5. Sancho J. 21. Zaragoza A.
Coaches
Hernandez E.	Gustavo Leal

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Esqueda Romero J. A. 🟨,
28', Christian 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Robles E. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
49', Vazquez Hernandez A. 🟨,
60', Meza S. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
66', Santos E. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
70', Mascorro H. ↓, Fadika B. ↑,
70', Ayala D. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
72', Hernandez E. 🟥,
82', Esqueda Romero J. A. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
82', Vazquez Hernandez A. ↓, Tamay A. ↑,
84', Figueroa F. ↓, Iniestra A. ↑,
85', Garcia L. 🟨,
90+2', Castaneda S. 🟨,
90+5', Christian ↓, Salomon O. ↑,
90+5', Castillo E. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0.

In recent matches, Tlaxcala has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	19:23	-4	12
14	Alebrijes Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	8:22	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.02.26	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:3 ✺
30.01.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cancún - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético Morelia	0:3 ✺
07.11.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWTLT
- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.02.26	Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG	5:2 ✺
30.01.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tlaxcala	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Tlaxcala - Irapuato	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Tlaxcala - Cancún	1:0 ✺
09.01.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tlaxcala	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.09.25	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1
21.03.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala	2:3
05.10.24	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1
19.03.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala	1:1
16.09.23	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1
01.02.23	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:1
24.09.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala	3:0

Upcoming Matches