Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Banorte (Mexico City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Disney+, ESPN
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Atlante		Monterrey

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.50	2.20
	3.00	3.40	2.25
	2.95	3.45	2.17
	3.13	3.56	2.34
	3.17	3.64	2.16	Watch
	3.05	3.50	2.25
	3.30	3.54	2.19	Watch
	2.95	3.40	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	2.23 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlante
30.6%

Draw
27%

Monterrey
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

25.5%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25.3%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Atlante - Monterrey Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlante will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Monterrey will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jimenez O. (C) 29. Portales W. 6. Carrera J. N. 4. Tercero E. 44. Quiros A. 37. Clar W. 30. Martin Sarrafiore 8. Pizzuto E. 19. Calzadilla L. 9. Puente L. 7. Jhojan Julio	1. Andrada E. (G) 2. Chavez R. 13. Salcedo C. 19. Aceves A. 3. Arteaga G. 8. Torres O. 5. Ambriz F. 10. Orellano L. 18. Garza C. 17. Corona J. (C) 99. Cuypers H.
Substitutes
20. Adame G. 14. Alfaro C. 22. Barragan R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 15. Charcopa J. 27. Escobar A. 25. Fernandez M. 11. Moxica J. 3. Sanchez L. 10. Vazquez O.	14. Aguirre E. 22. Cardenas L. (G) 27. de la Rosa R. 32. Djurdjevic U. 11. Fimbres I. 200. Galvez O. 33. Medina S. 21. Reyes L. 30. Rodriguez J. 9. Rossi D.
Coaches
Herrera M.	Almeyda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Puente L. ⚽, Portales W. (A),
16', Carrera J. N. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Cuypers H. ⚽, Torres O. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Calzadilla L. ⚽,
58', Corona J. 🟨,
59', Corona J. ↓, Rossi D. ↑,
59', Aceves A. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Tercero E. ⚽, Jhojan Julio (A),
69', Orellano L. ↓, Galvez O. ↑,
69', Garza C. ↓, Djurdjevic U. ↑,
73', Puente L. ↓, Moxica J. ↑,
73', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
82', Clar W. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, de la Rosa R. ⚽,
88', Portales W. ↓, Alfaro C. ↑,
88', Calzadilla L. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
90+3', Torres O. 🟨,
90+6', 4 - 2, Jhojan Julio ⚽,
90+7', Jhojan Julio 🟨,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 14th and 10th).

Recent results have been tough for Atlante (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Monterrey has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Monterrey is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Doubtful / questionable for Monterrey: Rossi D. (Injury) Salcedo C. (Ankle Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Atlante has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlante against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Monterrey	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14
16	Atlante	11	2	5	4	12:17	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Monterrey - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga MX
18.09.26	Puebla - Atlante	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Atlante - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Atlas - Atlante	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Atlante - Club León	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Tigres UANL - Atlante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTTL
- CF Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX
19.09.26	Monterrey - Cruz Azul	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Monterrey - Tigres UANL	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.09.26	Toluca - Monterrey	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Club América - Monterrey	2:3 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
30.08.26	Monterrey - Atlético San Luis	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
29.03.14	Monterrey - Atlante	3:2
05.10.13	Atlante - Monterrey	2:1
03.02.13	Atlante - Monterrey	3:1
18.08.12	Monterrey - Atlante	N/A

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