The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puebla 39.1%
Draw 28.3%
Atlante 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
26.2%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
26%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puebla's form might have worsened.
Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puebla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Puebla - Atlante Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlante will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Gutierrez D. (G) 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 5. Almada F. 4. Vargas J. (C) 7. Monarrez F. 21. Sanabria S. 27. Garnica B. 10. Tomas M. 24. Organista A. 22. Baltazar C. 19. Maestro I.
1. Jimenez O. (C) 6. Carrera J. N. 4. Tercero E. 44. Quiros A. 29. Portales W. 8. Pizzuto E. 16. Gonzalez D. 37. Clar W. 30. Martin Sarrafiore 7. Jhojan Julio 19. Calzadilla L.
Substitutes
9. Hernandez L. 3. Herrera A. 25. Jurado H. 2. Leyva A. 34. Lucas Camilo 12. Moreno I. 8. Moreno Villegas O. F. 16. Ramirez A. 33. Rodriguez J. (G) 15. Villa O.
20. Adame G. 14. Alfaro C. 22. Barragan R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 15. Charcopa J. 27. Escobar A. 25. Fernandez M. 11. Moxica J. 9. Puente L. 3. Sanchez L.
Coaches
Espinoza G.
Herrera M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Portales W. ⚽, Jhojan Julio (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
46', Garnica B. ↓, Moreno Villegas O. F. ↑,
46', Monarrez F. ↓, Villa O. ↑,
47', Villa O. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Tomas M. ⚽, Maestro I. (A),
72', Clar W. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
72', Jhojan Julio ↓, Puente L. ↑,
73', Maestro I. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
78', Gonzalez D. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
85', Tomas M. ↓, Jurado H. ↑,
90+2', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Moxica J. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 2.
Puebla has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Atlante is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Puebla may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Puebla is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Puebla: Mustre E.
(Ankle Injury)
Velasco K.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Puebla: Navarro E.
(Injury).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Puebla has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:10 (averaging 0.6:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puebla against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1:0.4 per game).
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Gutierrez D. (G) 
Almada F. 
Vargas J. (C) 
Sanabria S. 
Tomas M. 
Carrera J. N. 
Jhojan Julio 
Hernandez L. 
Lucas Camilo 
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