Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)

Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, ViX Premium
Usa	SportsEngine Play, TUDN


	Atlas		Atlante

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.98	3.40	3.70
	1.88	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.92	3.62	4.33
	1.95	3.52	3.92	Watch
	1.88	3.55	4.25
	1.89	3.45	4.48	Watch
	1.88	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.89)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	4.14 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
49.7%

Draw
27.3%

Atlante
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Atlas - Atlante Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Atlante will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vargas C. (G) 3. Sanchez J. 19. Frias A. 21. Schlegel R. 5. Rodriguez J. 28. Capasso M. 10. Esteves L. 26. Rocha A. (C) 58. Gonzalez A. 8. Mmaee R. 9. Monzon F.	1. Jimenez O. (C) 29. Portales W. 14. Alfaro C. 4. Tercero E. 44. Quiros A. 27. Escobar A. 30. Martin Sarrafiore 8. Pizzuto E. 19. Calzadilla L. 9. Puente L. 7. Jhojan Julio
Substitutes
13. Aguirre G. 11. Duk 23. Hernandez S. 203. Martin J. 4. Mora A. 15. Ramirez P. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 22. Sanchez A. (G) 192. Serrato J. 16. Valenzuela M.	20. Adame G. 32. Bagui Tobar D. O. 18. Bermudez C. 6. Carrera J. N. 15. Charcopa J. 37. Clar W. 25. Fernandez M. 33. Garcia Jordan (G) 16. Gonzalez D. 11. Moxica J.
Coaches
Crespo H.	Herrera M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Esteves L. ⚽,
14', Pizzuto E. 🟨,
35', Jhojan Julio (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Escobar A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Martin Sarrafiore ⚽,
57', Mmaee R. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
58', Rodriguez J. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
70', Quiros A. ↓, Bagui Tobar D. O. ↑,
70', Puente L. ↓, Moxica J. ↑,
75', Tercero E. 🟨,
77', Rocha A. 🟨,
80', Moxica J. 🟨,
81', Gonzalez A. ↓, Serrato J. ↑,
86', Schlegel R. 🟨,
87', Rocha A. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
90', Portales W. ↓, Carrera J. N. ↑,
90+3', Alfaro C. ↓, Adame G. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 1.

In recent matches, Atlas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlante's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atlas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Atlas: Capasso M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Atlas: Mmaee R. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17:18	-1	18
15	Atlante	11	2	5	4	12:17	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
29.08.26	Atlas - Querétaro	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Cruz Azul - Atlas	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Atlas - Tigres UANL	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Cincinnati - Atlas	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Charlotte - Atlas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 LWWWL
- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga MX
28.08.26	Atlante - Club León	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Tigres UANL - Atlante	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Atlante - Toluca	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Minnesota United - Atlante	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Real Salt Lake - Atlante	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
18.01.14	Atlas - Atlante	0:1
30.07.13	Atlante - Atlas	1:1
Copa Mexico
13.03.13	Atlante - Atlas	1:0 pen.
Mexican Liga MX
09.02.13	Atlas - Atlante	2:1
26.08.12	Atlante - Atlas	1:0
10.03.12	Atlante - Atlas	0:0

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