Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio BBVA (Monterrey)

Referee: Rosario I. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	SportsEngine Play, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Monterrey		Tigres UANL

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.50	3.75	Watch
	2.00	3.50	3.50
	2.12	3.50	3.00	Watch
	2.04	3.59	3.78
	2.14	3.45	3.37	Watch
	2.01	3.50	3.70
	2.02	3.54	3.79	Watch
	2.00	3.45	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.55)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	3.56 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterrey
46.4%

Draw
27%

Tigres UANL
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.5%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monterrey's performance.

Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tigres UANL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monterrey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigres UANL could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Monterrey - Tigres UANL Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tigres will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Tigres (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigres (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 2. Chavez R. 4. Guzman V. 13. Salcedo C. 3. Arteaga G. 8. Torres O. 25. Pineda O. 7. Ocampos L. 9. Rossi D. 17. Corona J. (C) 99. Cuypers H.	1. Guzman N. (C) 14. Garza J. 28. Joaquim 15. Franco A. 19. Lainez M. 8. Gorriaran F. 23. Romulo 16. Lainez D. 11. Brunetta J. 21. Monreal R. 17. Aguirre R.
Substitutes
14. Aguirre E. 5. Ambriz F. 22. Cardenas L. (G) 27. de la Rosa R. 32. Djurdjevic U. 11. Fimbres I. 33. Medina S. 10. Orellano L. 21. Reyes L. 30. Rodriguez J.	5. Araujo C. 9. Gomez E. 33. Guerrero R. 77. Herrera O. 22. Martinez G. 26. Ordonez Delgado F. I. 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 30. Sanchez Guevara D. A. 34. Simeone 6. Vigon J.
Coaches
Almeyda M.	Vucetich M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Joaquim 🟨,
36', Lainez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Salcedo C. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
59', Rossi D. 🟨,
61', Medina S. 🟨,
67', Corona J. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
70', Romulo ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
70', Lainez D. ↓, Sanchez Guevara D. A. ↑,
76', Ocampos L. ↓, Djurdjevic U. ↑,
76', Chavez R. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
81', Franco A. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
81', Monreal R. ↓, Guerrero R. ↑,
85', Brunetta J. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
87', Djurdjevic U. 🟨,
87', Guerrero R. 🟨,
90+2', Torres O. ↓, Ambriz F. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Monterrey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Monterrey could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Tigres: Angulo J. (Knee Injury) Flores M. (Knee Injury) Herrera O. (Injury) Reyes F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Tigres: Farfan M. (Muscle Injury) Lorona V. (Injury) Rodriguez O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	16:14	2	13
11	Tigres UANL	11	3	4	4	13:15	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Monterrey - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Tigres UANL - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.63%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Monterrey
CONCACAF League Cup
06.09.26	Toluca - Monterrey	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Club América - Monterrey	2:3 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
30.08.26	Monterrey - Atlético San Luis	1:3 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
25.08.26	Monterrey - Chicago Fire	2:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
21.08.26	Club León - Monterrey	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWL
- Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX
05.09.26	Tigres UANL - Necaxa	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Santos Laguna - Tigres UANL	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Tigres UANL - Atlante	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Atlas - Tigres UANL	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Tigres UANL - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
07.03.26	Tigres UANL - Monterrey	1:0
01.11.25	Monterrey - Tigres UANL	1:1
12.04.25	Tigres UANL - Monterrey	2:1
19.10.24	Monterrey - Tigres UANL	4:2
12.05.24	Monterrey - Tigres UANL	1:1
09.05.24	Tigres UANL - Monterrey	1:2
13.04.24	Monterrey - Tigres UANL	3:3

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