The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlante 74.2%
Draw 15.8%
Tlaxcala 10%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.3%
19%
12.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
18.3%
12.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlante's performance.
Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Atlante - Tlaxcala Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
EH -1 - Atlante (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.5 - Atlante (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlante (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Espinoza G. (G) 22. Calzadilla L. 6. Carrera J. N. 3. Cruz D. 27. Escobar A. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 21. Ibarra J. (C) 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. 2. Reyes F. 9. Wlk A.
13. Mendoza H. (G) 19. Castaneda S. 9. Christian 6. Gonzalez Martinez J. D. 2. Gonzalez P. 12. Lazaro J. 8. Plascencia F. (C) 25. Rojas H. 11. Salomon O. 31. Silva J. 15. Tejeda D.
Substitutes
1. Barragan R. (G) 33. Basulto L. 31. Bello B. 18. Bermudez C. 15. Cantu E. 11. Coubert R. 30. Espinoza E. 7. Garcia M. 8. Gonzalez R. 20. Tovar J.
18. Buganza F. 5. Esnaider F. 4. Fabio Erins 20. Godinez I. 1. Mata F. (G) 27. Partida F. 24. Robles E. 16. Solis E. 14. Vazquez J. 21. Zaragoza A.
Coaches
Fuentes M.
Fabian M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Calzadilla L. ⚽, Ibarra J. (A),
20', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. (Pen),
25', Castaneda S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
59', Salomon O. ↓, Partida F. ↑,
64', Castaneda S. ↓, Fabio Erins ↑,
74', Tejeda D. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
75', Rojas H. ↓, Esnaider F. ↑,
75', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
76', Calzadilla L. ↓, Bello B. ↑,
76', Ibarra J. ↓, Cantu E. ↑,
81', Wlk A. ↓, Coubert R. ↑,
81', Cruz D. ↓, Basulto L. ↑,
87', Bello B. 🟨,
87', Garcia Pardo M. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Bermudez C. ⚽,
90+8', 3 - 0, Coubert R. ⚽, Jimenez E. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 3.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Tlaxcala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlante is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Atlante will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
Mexico
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Espinoza G. (G) 
Carrera J. N. 
Wlk A. 
Christian 
Salomon O. 
Esnaider F. 
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