Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)

Referee: Rosario I. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Atlas		Club León

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.62	3.55	2.42
	2.59	3.55	2.74
	2.53	3.72	2.53	Watch
	2.64	3.5	2.41	Watch
	2.52	3.6	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.57)	3.59 ↑ (3.48)	2.51 (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
36.3%

Draw
26.2%

Club León
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.7%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.2%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Atlas - Club León Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). León will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vargas C. (C) 13. Aguirre G. 15. Ramirez P. 4. Mora A. 3. Gustavo Ferrareis 8. Garcia M. E. 5. Matheus Doria 199. Hernandez S. 11. Gonzalez D. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 32. Djurdjevic U.	23. Garcia O. (G) 25. Bellon P. 21. Barreiro S. 20. Echeverria R. 26. Reyes S. 4. Fonseca N. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 7. Moreno I. 10. Rodriguez J. (C) 29. Alvarado A. 18. Funes Mori R.
Substitutes
19. Aguirre E. 7. Coccaro M. 10. del Prete G. 58. Gonzalez A. 44. Pier R. 16. Ramirez A. 14. Ramos C. (G) 26. Rocha A. 25. Rodriguez J. 218. San Martin J.	14. Ayon E. 16. Cortizo J. 11. Diaz I. 27. Estrada A. 2. Gauthier V. 12. Jimenez O. (G) 28. Ramirez D. 19. Rodriguez E. 31. Santos S. 15. Villa O.
Coaches
Cocca D.	Ambriz I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Funes Mori R. ↓, Ayon E. ↑,
7', 1 - 0, Djurdjevic U. ⚽, Gustavo Ferrareis (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Moreno I. 🟨,
59', Rodriguez J. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
59', Bellon P. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Djurdjevic U. (Pen),
67', Barreiro S. 🟨,
71', Garcia M. E. 🟨,
73', Cortizo J. 🟨,
75', Rios De Alba V. H. ↓, Rocha A. ↑,
76', Moreno I. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
76', Alvarado A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
81', Garcia M. E. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
81', Djurdjevic U. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
89', Hernandez S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
89', Gonzalez D. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
90+1', Fonseca N. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 0.

Atlas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

León has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Lozano J. (Muscle Injury) Ortega E. (Suspended) Rocha A. (Muscle Injury) Zaldivar E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in León: Diaz I. (Injury)

There are questionable in León: Arcila D. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Club León - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.03%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
17.10.25	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Atlas - Juárez	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Atlas - Necaxa	3:2 ✺
24.09.25	Tigres UANL - Atlas	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Mazatlan - Atlas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLT
- Club León
Mexican Liga MX
18.10.25	Santos Laguna - Club León	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Club León - Toluca	2:4 ✺
26.09.25	Juárez - Club León	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Club León - Mazatlan	2:2 ✺
19.09.25	Tijuana - Club León	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
18.01.25	Atlas - Club León	1:2
23.10.24	Club León - Atlas	0:0
18.02.24	Atlas - Club León	0:1
24.10.23	Club León - Atlas	1:1
11.03.23	Atlas - Club León	0:1
28.08.22	Club León - Atlas	4:2
19.01.22	Club León - Atlas	1:1

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