The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlas 32.1%
Draw 27.3%
Juárez 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
26.2%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
26%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
12.5%
50%
Atlas - Juárez Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Juárez will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Juárez: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vargas C. (C) 13. Aguirre G. 5. Matheus Doria 4. Mora A. 3. Gustavo Ferrareis 16. Ramirez A. 15. Ramirez P. 199. Hernandez S. 11. Gonzalez D. 8. Garcia M. E. 32. Djurdjevic U.
1. Jurado S. (C) 5. Garcia D. 2. Murillo J. 26. Manriquez J. 4. Mayorga A. 9. Madson 8. Guilherme Castilho 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 11. Puma 17. Pizarro R. 19. Estupinan O.
Substitutes
19. Aguirre E. 7. Coccaro M. 10. del Prete G. 58. Gonzalez A. 23. Orrantia C. 14. Ramos C. (G) 21. Robles C. 25. Rodriguez J. 218. San Martin J. 192. Serrato J.
24. Diaz B. (G) 13. Fulgencio R. 237. Lopez E. 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 21. Ricardinho 183. Silva L. 200. Sosa C. 7. Valoyes D. 10. Villalpando D. 29. Zaldivar A.
Coaches
Cocca D.
Varini M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Estupinan O. ⚽, Murillo J. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Djurdjevic U. (Pen),
33', 2 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽, Hernandez S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Murillo J. 🟨,
60', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
64', 3 - 1, Ramirez P. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
68', Garcia D. ↓, Valoyes D. ↑,
68', Puma ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
69', Gustavo Ferrareis 🟨,
78', Madson ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
78', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,
78', Garcia M. E. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
82', Djurdjevic U. 🟨,
82', Hernandez S. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
82', Djurdjevic U. ↓, San Martin J. ↑,
84', Mayorga A. 🟨,
87', Matheus Doria 🟨,
88', Pizarro R. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
90+2', Zaldivar A. 🟨,
90+3', Ramirez A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2.
Atlas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Juárez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Rodriguez J.
(Injury)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Juárez: Ochoa D.
(International duty)
There are questionable in Atlas: Lozano J.
(Injury)
Pier R.
(Injury)
Rocha A.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).