Match Info

Date: 29 August 2020, Saturday


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Nacional

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.83
	3.5	3.5	1.9
	3.4	3.3	1.9
	3.6	3.5	1.86
	3.81	3.64	1.95
	3.6	3.7	1.83
	3.92	3.95	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (4.04)	3.6 ↑ (3.3)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
25.1%

Draw
25.9%

Nacional
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

27.8%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

21.6%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Fenix Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4).

Recent matches Fenix is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nacional will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fenix won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fenix won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.08.20	Danubio - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
23.08.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	5:0 ✺
20.08.20	Cerro - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2 ✺
15.08.20	Liverpool Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2 ✺
08.08.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Progreso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTTT
- Atletico Nacional
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.08.20	Nacional - Progreso	2:1 ✺
23.08.20	Plaza Colonia - Nacional	0:0 ✺
20.08.20	Nacional - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
15.08.20	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional	2:3 ✺
09.08.20	Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
07.11.19	Nacional - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0
20.04.19	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Nacional	4:4

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