Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo)

Referee: Motta S. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Liverpool Montevideo		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2.05	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.12	3.38	3.68
	2.1	3.25	3.57	Watch
	2	3.4	3.3
	2.01	3.49	3.52	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.05)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
45.1%

Draw
27.9%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Liverpool Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Fenix will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lentinelly S. (C) 24. Amaro K. 27. Bentaberry B. 2. Elizalde E. 18. Cayetano A. 14. Rosso J. 15. Rodriguez D. 22. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 10. Tabo C. 9. Machado R. 19. Nunez S.	25. Marquez E. (G) 24. Alvez J. 4. Perg M. 22. Da Silveira A. 23. Argacha A. 19. Juambeltz M. 5. Schetino A. (C) 21. Viera S. 14. Alfaro A. 9. Da Silva S. 26. de Marco S.
Substitutes
11. Aued L. 7. Hernandez A. 29. Olavarria L. 6. Olivera E. 4. Perdomo F. 17. Poiso J. 8. Quintana H. 20. Vergara H. 40. Vikonis N. (G) 31. Wasilewsky L.	27. Cachi M. 15. Chopitea R. 17. Cortelezzi S. 40. De Leon F. 11. Estoyanoff F. 7. Fernandez W. 16. Guisolfo B. 13. Pereira G. 33. Requena A. (G) 28. Rodriguez F.
Coaches
Ferrin G.	Vigneri N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ⚽,
18', Bentaberry B. 🟥,
26', Juambeltz M. 🟨,
28', Cayetano A. 🟨,
31', Schetino A. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Juambeltz M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Juambeltz M. ↓, Cortelezzi S. ↑,
46', Schetino A. ↓, Cachi M. ↑,
46', Tabo C. ↓, Olavarria L. ↑,
46', Nunez S. ↓, Poiso J. ↑,
54', Poiso J. 🟨,
58', Da Silveira A. 🟨,
61', Da Silveira A. ↓, Chopitea R. ↑,
64', Olivera E. 🟨,
67', Machado R. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
67', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Aued L. ↑,
70', Alfaro A. ↓, De Leon F. ↑,
75', Rosso J. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
75', de Marco S. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Da Silva S. ⚽,
83', Da Silva S. 🟨,
88', Marquez E. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Liverpool have a series of guest games.

Liverpool will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 42:21 (average 2.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:13 (average 2.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.10.24	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Boston River	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLWL
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	4:3 ✺
22.09.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	0:0 ✺
16.09.24	Boston River - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
07.04.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:3
03.09.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0
21.07.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1
20.02.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:1
23.10.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:3
18.06.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2
05.06.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0

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