Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis Troccoli (Montevideo)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)


	Cerro		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3	2.75
	2.5	3	2.9	Watch
	2.58	3.13	3.01
	2.58	3.13	3.01
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.52	3.09	2.87	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.32)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	2.88 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
36.9%

Draw
30.7%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

28.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	83.3%	16.7%

Cerro - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fenix will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Denis E. (G) 4. Alvarez E. 5. Macelli A. 13. Lacoste P. (C) 16. Abero M. 14. Berrios J. 20. Rabunal M. 21. Gorgoroso Y. 10. Ramirez S. 15. Pereira I. 9. Melo E.	1. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 15. Chopitea R. 4. Perg M. 3. Queiroz F. 23. Argacha A. 27. Cachi M. 5. Schetino A. (C) 7. Fernandez W. 40. De Leon F. 29. Acuna M. 28. Rodriguez F.
Substitutes
12. Cubero M. (G) 17. Femia E. 2. Llana B. 6. Marin R. 7. Peralta M. 8. Petillo N. 11. Rodriguez L. 3. Rodriguez M. 18. Scorza B. 19. Villar E.	24. Alvez J. 8. Breno Caetano 9. Da Silva S. 20. Franca S. 16. Guisolfo B. 19. Juambeltz M. 13. Pereira G. 57. Queiroz N. 33. Requena A. (G) 17. Viera G.
Coaches
Pallas I.	Vigneri N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Pereira I. ↓, Scorza B. ↑,
43', Rabunal M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Queiroz F. ↓, Pereira G. ↑,
54', Acuna M. 🟨,
58', Perg M. ↓, Guisolfo B. ↑,
61', Abero M. 🟨,
61', Rodriguez F. ↓, Juambeltz M. ↑,
66', Melo E. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
66', Ramirez S. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
76', Argacha A. ↓, Franca S. ↑,
76', Acuna M. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
81', Rabunal M. ↓, Petillo N. ↑,
81', Berrios J. ↓, Villar E. ↑,
90+2', Juambeltz M. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro won 2.

Recent matches Cerro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fenix is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cerro won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerro won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.04.24	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	3:0 ✺
31.03.24	Miramar Misiones - Cerro	2:2 ✺
24.03.24	Cerro - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro	3:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
06.03.24	Cerro - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTTLL
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.04.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
08.03.24	Miramar Misiones - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Boston River	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguay Copa
21.02.24	Cerro - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.10.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro	1:1
17.06.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro	0:0
20.03.23	Cerro - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0
11.02.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro	3:3
20.08.20	Cerro - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2
24.10.19	Cerro - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0

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