Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff (Montevideo)

Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Viju+ Sport


	Danubio		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.48	3.05	3.33
	2.41	2.94	3.23	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.34	3.12	3.12	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.27)	3.06 ↓ (3.12)	3.14 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
40%

Draw
30.3%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

29.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Danubio - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goicoechea M. (C) 4. Ancheta E. 14. Brazionis 44. Fratta G. 3. Fracchia M. 11. Sanseviero L. 19. Romero S. 7. Pintos I. 21. Pereira I. 20. Cantera M. 30. Fernandez S.	23. Marquez E. (G) 4. Perg M. 13. Pereira G. 24. Alvez J. (C) 15. Chopitea R. 16. Guisolfo B. 21. Viera S. 28. Rodriguez F. 10. Cachi M. 31. Dudu 17. Cortelezzi S.
Substitutes
27. Arguello M. 9. Blandi N. 2. Etchebarne S. 24. Femia E. 33. Leyes G. 10. Monzeglio M. 16. Peralta M. 12. Rio J. (G) 6. Sosa L. 8. Tizon C.	8. Breno Caetano 30. Cabrera I. 9. Da Silva S. 22. Da Silveira P. 40. De Leon F. 26. de Marco S. 7. Fernandez W. 19. Juambeltz M. 18. Perez A. 33. Requena A. (G)
Coaches
Apud A.	Vigneri N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Cachi M. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
32', Perez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pereira I. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
61', Romero S. 🟨,
62', Perez A. ↓, de Marco S. ↑,
62', Dudu ↓, De Leon F. ↑,
63', Romero S. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
68', Cantera M. ↓, Leyes G. ↑,
68', Sanseviero L. ↓, Tizon C. ↑,
79', Cortelezzi S. ↓, Juambeltz M. ↑,
79', Rodriguez F. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
83', Sosa L. 🟨,
86', Ancheta E. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Peralta M. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 2 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Danubio won 2.

Danubio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fenix is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Danubio will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Danubio won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Danubio won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.07.24	Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Boston River - Danubio	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	0:6 ✺
07.07.24	Miramar Misiones - Danubio	2:3 ✺
22.06.24	Cerro - Danubio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLWT
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
27.07.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Progreso	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
17.02.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Danubio	1:2
25.11.23	Danubio - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0
23.04.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Danubio	2:1
Club Friendly
25.01.23	Danubio - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.10.22	Danubio - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1
15.05.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Danubio	0:0
18.02.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Danubio	1:1

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