Match Info

Date: 8 November 2021, Monday


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Sud América

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.95	Watch
	2.1	3.05	3.25
	2.33	3.1	2.9
	2.43	3.38	3.07
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.28	3.42	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.89)	3.2 ↓ (3.34)	3 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
40.4%

Draw
28.9%

Sud América
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

27.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

21.6%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atletico Fenix Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Sud América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sud América's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+23.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atletico Fenix Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sud América, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Sud América Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Fenix will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fenix won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Fenix won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.11.21	Progreso - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:4 ✺
25.10.21	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
20.10.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Cerrito - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLTTW
- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.11.21	Sud América - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Sud América - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
25.10.21	Progreso - Sud América	0:0 ✺
21.10.21	Sud América - Cerro Largo	0:0 ✺
16.10.21	River Plate Montevideo - Sud América	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
24.07.21	Sud América - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1
19.08.17	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Sud América	2:3
04.02.17	Sud América - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2
12.11.16	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Sud América	1:2
13.02.16	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Sud América	2:0
22.08.15	Sud América - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1
14.03.15	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Sud América	0:0

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