Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)

Referee: Lasso L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	GOL TV Play, GOL TV Play
Uruguay	VTV+
World	Disney+


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.4	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.5
	2.9	2.9	2.55
	3.11	2.9	2.69
	2.95	2.88	2.63	Watch
	2.88	2.88	2.45
	2.92	2.92	2.61	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.66)	2.9 ↓ (2.95)	2.55 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
31.7%

Draw
31.9%

Cerro Largo
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

32%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

32.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro Largo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marquez E. (G) 24. Alvez J. 15. Chopitea R. 17. Cortelezzi S. 31. Dudu 16. Guisolfo B. 19. Juambeltz M. 13. Pereira G. 4. Perg M. 28. Rodriguez F. 21. Viera S.	24. Santilli G. (G) 20. Andrade F. 26. Cabral N. 7. Contrera J. 28. Cosentino L. 4. Ferrares B. 21. Pereira H. 14. Piriz M. 8. Rabino R. 6. Silva M. 9. Sosa Sanchez S.
Substitutes
14. Alfaro A. 54. Cabrera I. 9. Da Silva S. 22. Da Silveira A. 40. De Leon F. 26. de Marco S. 18. Perez A. 33. Requena A. (G) 5. Schetino A. 6. Scotto S.	23. Anasco M. 5. Di Pippa A. 1. Formento R. (G) 17. Garcia A. 11. Gonzalez B. 3. Gonzalez T. 18. Lopez I. 25. Lopez I. 10. Nunez F.
Coaches
Vigneri N.	Nunez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Viera S. ↓, De Leon F. ↑,
46', Silva M. ↓, Di Pippa A. ↑,
65', Juambeltz M. ↓, Da Silva S. ↑,
65', Dudu ↓, Alfaro A. ↑,
67', Andrade F. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
75', Cosentino L. ↓, Nunez F. ↑,
79', Rodriguez F. ↓, de Marco S. ↑,
79', Cortelezzi S. ↓, Cabrera M. ↑,
85', Cabrera M. 🟨,
89', 1 - 0, de Marco S. ⚽,
90+1', Perg M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fenix won 0.

Fenix is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cerro Largo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Fenix won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Fenix won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.08.24	Danubio - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Progreso	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLW
- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.08.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:0 ✺
27.07.24	Miramar Misiones - Cerro Largo	0:0 ✺
20.07.24	Cerro Largo - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
14.07.24	Cerro - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
25.02.24	Cerro Largo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0
07.10.23	Cerro Largo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0
08.07.23	Cerro Largo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1
25.02.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:0
11.09.22	Cerro Largo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0
03.04.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:0
31.10.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:4

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