Match Info

Date: 21 October 2021, Thursday


	Sud América		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3	3.3	2.2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.1	3.2	2.16
	3.25	3.54	2.26
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.18	3.42	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.08)	3.31 ↑ (3.21)	2.17 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
29.6%

Draw
27.9%

Cerro Largo
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.7%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

21.2%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sud América that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Largo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sud América - Cerro Largo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3).

Sud América is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cerro Largo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerro Largo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sud América won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.10.21	River Plate Montevideo - Sud América	5:1 ✺
10.10.21	Sud América - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
01.10.21	Cerrito - Sud América	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Sud América - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
18.09.21	Villa Española - Sud América	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.10.21	Cerro Largo - Progreso	1:0 ✺
08.10.21	Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:4 ✺
25.09.21	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	3:0 ✺
18.09.21	Cerrito - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
22.06.21	Cerro Largo - Sud América	2:1
01.03.14	Sud América - Cerro Largo	0:1
22.09.13	Cerro Largo - Sud América	2:0

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