Match Info

Liga Women - Round 13

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Cancha Marte - UMT (Bucaramanga)


	Atlético Bucaramanga		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.3	1.69
	5	3.42	1.68
	5.01	3.39	1.68	Watch
	4.56	3.55	1.73	Watch
	4.8	3.3	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (3.5)	3.39 ↑ (3.1)	1.69 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Bucaramanga
18.9%

Draw
27%

Millonarios
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

29.1%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

26.3%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Bucaramanga's form might have worsened.

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millonarios, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montanez A. (G) 19. Sarmiento S. 9. Camacho J. 2. Laguado D. 4. Velasquez L. 16. Pineda S. 5. Pineda V. 8. Garzon S. 26. Martinez M. 77. Parada J. 10. Lopez M.	12. Gamboa D. (G) 25. Olaya R. 13. Leal M. 23. Viafara F. 26. Benavides M. 10. Castellanos D. 22. Torres M. 4. Bolano L. 7. Castaneda Vanegas A. J. 16. Gomez L. 17. Tamayo L.
Substitutes
21. Bedoya I. 22. Bello M. 11. Lopez A. 6. Lopez M. 12. Quiroga S. (G) 14. Rodriguez D. 30. Vargas M. (G)	11. Alvarado K. 14. Gutierrez M. 21. Madrid N. 6. Olivares L. 8. Ortegon J. 18. Quiroga P. 30. Reyes L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Viafara F. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Castellanos D. ⚽, Tamayo L. (A),
22', Bolano L. ↓, Ortegon J. ↑,
43', Sarmiento S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Martinez M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
55', Parada J. ↓, Bedoya I. ↑,
62', Velasquez L. ↓, Bello M. ↑,
78', Garzon S. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
82', Castellanos D. ↓, Olivares L. ↑,
82', Olaya R. ↓, Madrid N. ↑,
90+1', Laguado D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).

In recent matches, Bucaramanga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Millonarios is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Millonarios is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Bucaramanga Women
Colombian Liga Women
17.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:1 ✺
17.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TTTWL
- Millonarios Women
Colombian Liga Women
19.05.25	Millonarios - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
13.05.25	Real Santander - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
05.05.25	Millonarios - Inter Palmira	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Millonarios - La Equidad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
18.04.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	1:1
27.03.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	1:2

Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide