Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Deportivo Cali		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.3
	2.08	3.05	3.7	Watch
	2.16	3.2	3.7
	2.05	3.29	3.66	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.16	3.31	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.23)	3.17 ↑ (3.06)	3.49 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
44%

Draw
29.3%

Once Caldas
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.5%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

31.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Cali: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Cali (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) 27. Viafara F. 2. Aguilar F. 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 3. Correa A. 6. Pajaro R. 8. Giraldo D. 19. Martinez J. 18. Hurtado A. (C) 13. Quintero Y. 23. Titi	99. Parra J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 16. Castano J. 2. Cardona J. 30. Tamayo K. 42. Quinones J. 88. Mejia R. 10. Sanchez L. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A. 17. Moreno D. (C) 9. Gomez P.
Substitutes
4. Alvarez F. 25. Colorado A. 33. Galindo J. 14. Mena J. 77. Montoya J. 21. Quinones J. 38. Rodriguez A. (G) 26. Tello J.	36. Acuna R. 12. Aguirre J. (G) 7. Barrios M. 23. Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 70. Quinones D. 20. Roa A. 5. Rojas I. 19. Rojas T. 28. Zuleta M.
Coaches
Gamero A.	Herrera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Moreno D. 🟨,
15', Caldera Alvis J. C. 🟨,
35', Aguilar F. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Moreno D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Quintero Y. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
46', Caldera Alvis J. C. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
46', Gomez P. 🟨,
53', Castano J. 🟨,
59', Gomez P. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
59', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
64', Giraldo D. ↓, Colorado A. ↑,
72', Aguilar F. 🟨,
73', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
73', Sanchez L. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
73', Quinones J. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Zuleta M. ⚽,
80', Parra J. 🟨,
80', Hurtado A. 🟨,
80', Titi 🟨,
82', Martinez J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
87', Moreno D. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
90+3', Titi 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 0.

Deportivo Cali has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Once Caldas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportivo Cali is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Cali	13	7	4	2	20:9	11	25
9	Once Caldas	13	4	4	5	16:16	0	16

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Cali - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.87%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
01.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Inter Bogotá - Deportivo Cali	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Deportivo Cali - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWLT
- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
27.02.26	Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF	4:2 ✺
15.02.26	Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
13.11.25	Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas	1:1
25.05.25	Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali	1:0
14.09.24	Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali	4:1
01.03.24	Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas	0:1
30.07.23	Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali	4:0
05.02.23	Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas	0:0
17.10.22	Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas	1:1

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