Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Tapadinha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Atlético CP		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.9	1.55
	5.25	3.75	1.53
	6	3.75	1.55
	5.87	3.8	1.56
	5.73	3.74	1.55
	5.8	3.8	1.5
	5.72	3.94	1.57
	6	3.75	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.7 ↑ (5.63)	3.8 ↓ (4.15)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético CP
16.2%

Draw
24.2%

Rio Ave
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

22.2%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

22.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Atlético CP - Rio Ave Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dias J. (G) 23. Almeida B. 9. Balotelli 28. Cruz H. 29. Dinamite D. 4. Henriques D. 14. Joaozinho 31. Paulinho 8. Pipo 17. Silva D. 19. Sousa C.	1. Miszta C. (G) 10. Amine 9. Clayton 77. Fabio Ronaldo 19. Kiko Bondoso 22. Koka 6. Novais J. 2. Panzo J. 23. Petrasso F. 33. Santos A. 17. Vrousai M.
Substitutes
3. Balde H. 7. Barandas M. 10. Caleb 5. Durand V. 11. Franco E. 60. Marques R. 77. Mendes J. 88. Pinto P. 1. Ribeiro L. (G)	21. Graca J. 18. Jhonatan (G) 27. Medina T. 11. Morais T. 80. Pohlmann O. 98. Richards O. 34. Tiknaz D. E. 20. Tome J. 4. William P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Panzo J. 🟨,
20', Sousa C. 🟨,
28', 🟨,
33', Pipo 🟨,
33', Dinamite D. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Fabio Ronaldo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Petrasso F. ↓, Richards O. ↑,
59', Balotelli ↓, Franco E. ↑,
59', Silva D. ↓, Barandas M. ↑,
59', Pipo ↓, Caleb ↑,
75', Vrousai M. 🟥,
79', Caleb (Pen),
80', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Tome J. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Pinto P. ⚽,
86', Novais J. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
91', Novais J. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
100', Joaozinho ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
104', 1 - 2, Santos A. ⚽,
105', 🟨,
105+3', 1 - 3, Koka ⚽,
110', 🟨,
110', 🟥,

Preview

Atlético CP in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Rio Ave is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Ave could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Atlético CP have a series of home games.

In this match Rio Ave is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
13.10.24	Atlético CP - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Atlético CP - Caldas	4:0 ✺
29.09.24	Atlético CP - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Atlético CP - Mortágua	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.09.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWW
- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
04.10.24	Rio Ave - Famalicão	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Braga - Rio Ave	4:0 ✺
21.09.24	Rio Ave - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	AVS - Rio Ave	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Rio Ave - Arouca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLW

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