Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine


	AVS		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.98	3.25	2.32	Watch
	3.18	3.34	2.38
	3.12	3.29	2.34	Watch
	3	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.22	3.43	2.34	Watch
	3.14	3.25	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.92)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	2.31 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
30.5%

Draw
28.7%

Rio Ave
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.8%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.6%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	25%	33.3%

AVS - Rio Ave Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AVS: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Joao Goncalves (G) 26. Ponck 35. Semedo R. 42. Devenish C. 24. Kiki (C) 27. Algobia A. 15. Grau J. 14. Perea O. 6. Assuncao G. 21. Neiva G. 7. Tomane	1. Miszta C. (G) 23. Petrasso F. 4. Panzo J. 6. Abbey N. 17. Vrousai M. (C) 5. Ntoi A. 10. Aguilera Zamora B. 3. Athanasiou N. 11. Andre Luiz 9. Clayton 80. Pohlmann O.
Substitutes
11. Akinsola T. 4. Bane S. 20. Duarte D. 19. Galletto T. 18. Nene 8. Pedro Lima 12. Rivas L. 93. Simao (G) 2. Spencer D.	32. Brabec J. 21. Graca J. 54. Liavas G. 63. Lomboto J. 44. Nikitscher T. 19. Papakanellos A. 29. Pastor A. (G) 20. Tome J. 14. Zoabi K.
Coaches
Sousa J. P.	Sylaidopoulos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Ntoi A. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Clayton ⚽, Andre Luiz (A),
44', Ponck 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Grau J. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Perea O. ⚽,
56', Petrasso F. 🟨,
60', Grau J. 🟨,
64', Abbey N. 🟨,
66', Abbey N. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
67', Ntoi A. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
67', Neiva G. ↓, Bane S. ↑,
76', Algobia A. ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
76', Kiki ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
77', Rivas L. 🟨,
79', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,
83', Semedo R. 🟨,
83', Pohlmann O. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
85', Perea O. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
85', Tomane ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
89', Liavas G. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Clayton (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Devenish C. 🟨,
90+8', Zoabi K. 🟨,
90+9', Clayton 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

AVS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in AVS: Molina G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T. (Knee Injury) Rafael Lobato (Inactive)

There are questionable in AVS: Santos A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Rio Ave: Richards O. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AVS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, AVS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Ave - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
28.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães - AVS	4:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	AVS - Académico de Viseu	1:0 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
09.11.25	AVS - Gil Vicente	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	AVS - Tondela	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Santa Clara - AVS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTTL
- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
30.11.25	Rio Ave - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Alverca - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Rio Ave - Estoril Praia	0:4 ✺
25.10.25	Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Sintrense - Rio Ave	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
16.02.25	Rio Ave - AVS	1:1
14.09.24	AVS - Rio Ave	1:0

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