The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventude 50.3%
Draw 29.7%
Vila Nova 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
28.2%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
26.9%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
11.1%
11.1%
Juventude - Vila Nova Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 58.6% – 97%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 1 - 50%). Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 2. Rai Ramos 75. Rai Silva 5. Luan Martins 30. Patryck 44. Mandaca 10. MP 25. Alisson Safira
1. Helton Leite (G) 20. Nathan Camargo 3. Tiago Pagnussat 14. Anderson Jesus 6. Higor 15. Dudu 5. Joao Vieira 11. Ryan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 7. Andre Luis
Substitutes
9. Alan Kardec 20. Allanzinho 17. Castro M. 11. Fabio Lima 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 8. Lucas Mineiro 26. Ly I. 7. Pablo Roberto 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 27. Ray Breno 3. Titi 6. Wadson
23. Breno Augusto 33. Bruno Xavier 29. Dalberson (G) 49. Dellatorre 31. Dodo 70. Emerson Urso 18. Enzo Bizzotto 22. Hayner 21. Higor Meritao 16. Igor Carius 13. Willian Formiga
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri
Guto Ferreira
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Mandaca 🟨,
19', Ryan ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Messias ⚽, Rai Silva (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bruno Xavier ↓, Higor Meritao ↑,
57', Patryck 🟨,
68', Andre Luis 🟨,
70', Luan Martins ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
70', MP ↓, Castro M. ↑,
70', Mandaca ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
72', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
75', Nathan Camargo ↓, Hayner ↑,
75', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Dodo ↑,
77', Alisson Safira ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
81', Dudu ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
85', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
86', Rai Ramos ↓, Gabriel Pinheiro ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.
Juventude is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vila Nova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Juventude is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Juventude: Alan Kardec
(Injury)
Diogo Barbosa
(Injury)
Nathan Santos
(Inactive)
There will not play in Vila Nova: Rafa Silva
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Juventude: Alan Ruschel
(Muscle Injury)
Pablo Roberto
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).