Match Info

Serie B - Round 21

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Filho A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vila Nova		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.20	3.10
	2.15	3.05	3.4	Watch
	2.26	3.15	3.66
	2.2	3.03	3.49	Watch
	2.2	3	3.55
	2.2	3.02	3.47	Watch
	2.16	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.18)	3.08 ↓ (3.16)	3.43 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
42.6%

Draw
30.3%

Sport Recife
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Vila Nova - Sport Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Recife will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Vila Nova (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Helton Leite (G) 20. Nathan Camargo 4. Douglas Mendes 23. Breno Augusto 6. Higor 5. Joao Vieira 21. Higor Meritao 17. Everton Galdino 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 7. Andre Luis	26. Thiago Couto (G) 68. Augusto 3. Marcelo Ajul 33. Kayky Almeida 60. Felipinho 23. Ze Gabriel (C) 29. Willian Oliveira 30. Chrystian Barletta 20. Diego Hernandez 25. Clayson 9. Pedro Perotti
Substitutes
38. Caio Marcelo 29. Dalberson (G) 49. Dellatorre 31. Dodo 15. Dudu 70. Emerson Urso 18. Enzo Bizzotto 9. Gustavo Puskas 22. Hayner 16. Igor Carius 3. Tiago Pagnussat 11. Warley	5. Benevenuto 27. Claudinho 10. de Pena Carlos 77. Dudu 96. Edson Lucas 1. Erick (G) 28. Habraao 31. Marlon Douglas 15. Murilo Rhikman 48. Pedro Martins 99. Ze Roberto
Coaches
Guto Ferreira	Gilmar Pozzo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Chrystian Barletta ⚽,
42', Augusto 🟨,
45+2', Thiago Couto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nathan Camargo ↓, Hayner ↑,
46', Higor Meritao ↓, Dudu ↑,
46', Augusto ↓, Claudinho ↑,
60', Clayson ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
62', Higor 🟨,
64', Everton Galdino ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
69', Diego Hernandez ↓, Dudu ↑,
73', Dudu 🟨,
79', Janderson ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
79', Douglas Mendes ↓, Tiago Pagnussat ↑,
81', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
90+3', Pedro Perotti ↓, Benevenuto ↑,
90+4', Ze Gabriel ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
90+6', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vila Nova could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Rafa Silva (Knee Injury) Ryan (Injury) Willian Formiga (Yellow Cards) Willian Maranhao (Inactive)

There will not play in Recife: de Pena Carlos (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44:31	13	58
8	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	10	50

Last Results with these Odds

Vila Nova - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
27.07.26	CRB Maceio - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Vila Nova - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Criciúma - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Juventude - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
06.07.26	Vila Nova - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
27.07.26	Sport Recife - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
22.07.26	Goiás - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Sport Recife - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
10.07.26	Sport Recife - Botafogo SP	3:3 ✺
04.07.26	Criciúma - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
01.04.26	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	1:1
16.08.24	Vila Nova - Sport Recife	2:0
26.04.24	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	2:0
02.08.23	Vila Nova - Sport Recife	0:1
18.06.23	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	1:0
06.11.22	Vila Nova - Sport Recife	0:0
18.07.22	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	0:0

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