The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad César Vallejo 56.6%
Draw 26.3%
Cienciano 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
28%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
29.2%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad César Vallejo's performance.
Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cienciano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad César Vallejo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cienciano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
11.1%
22.2%
Universidad César Vallejo - Cienciano Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. César Vallejo will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cienciano will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for César Vallejo: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Carvallo J. (G) 32. Madrid J. 5. Deneumostier A. 19. Ascues C. 61. Bolivar J. 88. Ballon J. 8. Ysique F. 23. Da Silva P. 10. Velez J. (C) 93. Rodriguez A. 17. Mena Y.
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 3. Benitez M. 13. Mera G. 6. Fuentes P. 7. Estrada J. 14. Torrejon C. (C) 33. Cueva C. 26. Palomino R. 55. Ramua A. 11. Romagnoli J. 21. Garces C.
Substitutes
4. Amasifuen N. 13. Barreto G. 7. Barreto O. 33. Benitez E. 30. Falcon Camacho W. S. (G) 22. Flores F. 20. Noronha O. 6. Perea G. 38. Perez D.
23. Cana D. (G) 17. Guivin Tanta J. 12. Ibanez P. 8. La Torre D. 20. Lecaros A. 5. Mifflin L. 10. Ritacco G. 22. Rodriguez A. 70. Valoyes J.
Coaches
Hernandez L.
Diaz C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Mena Y. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
35', Madrid J. 🟨,
39', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', Benitez M. 🟨,
64', Cueva C. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
64', Palomino R. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
68', Da Silva P. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Estrada J. ⚽, Ramua A. (A),
74', Bolivar J. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
74', Mera G. 🟨,
74', Barreto G. ↓, Barreto O. ↑,
78', Torrejon C. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Noronha O. ⚽,
88', Noronha O. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Garces C. (Pen),
90+6', Rodriguez A. ↓, Benitez E. ↑,
90+7', Romagnoli J. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 0.
César Vallejo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Cienciano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match César Vallejo is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:22 (average 1.1:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams César Vallejo won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.3:1.2).