Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 5

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Rommel Fernandez (Panama City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Plaza Amador		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.4	4
				Watch
	2.04	3.32	3.68
	1.85	3.52	4.00	Watch
	1.96	3.36	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.75)	3.4 ↓ (3.41)	3.78 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Amador
48.5%

Draw
27.1%

Alianza San Miguel
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

25.5%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Amador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plaza Amador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Plaza Amador - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Plaza Amador will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Rose E. ⚽, Sanchez J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Plaza Amador is Qualified for CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Plaza Amador has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Alianza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Alianza has had a series of home games.

In this match, Plaza Amador is considered a favorite.

We predict that Plaza Amador will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Plaza Amador
CONCACAF Central American Cup
19.08.25	Plaza Amador - Managua	3:2 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
16.08.25	Plaza Amador - Sporting San Miguelito	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
12.08.25	Antigua GFC - Plaza Amador	3:5 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
08.08.25	Alianza Panama - Plaza Amador	2:3 ✺
04.08.25	UMECIT - Plaza Amador	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWW
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
24.08.25	Alianza San Miguel - CD FAS	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
21.08.25	Alianza San Miguel - Alajuelense	0:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
16.08.25	Hércules - Alianza San Miguel	2:5 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.25	Alianza San Miguel - Managua	1:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
09.08.25	Alianza San Miguel - Isidro Metapán	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWL

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