Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético Rojiblanco		El Nacional

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.90	5.50
	1.46	3.90	6.00
	1.50	3.98	6.36
	1.43	4.3	7.3
	1.45	3.65	5.30
	1.61	3.88	5.25	Watch
	1.49	3.95	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.53)	3.94 ↑ (3.7)	5.93 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Rojiblanco
61.4%

Draw
23.2%

El Nacional
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

24.4%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

23.2%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Rojiblanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Rojiblanco than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Atlético Rojiblanco - El Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Rojiblanco will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Godoy W. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Acosta A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 3 - 0, Ramirez D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Atlético Rojiblanco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

El Nacional is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Atlético Rojiblanco is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Rojiblanco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atletico FC	29	13	13	3	36:19	17	52

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Rojiblanco
Ecuadorian Serie B
09.06.26	22 de Julio - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:1 ✺
03.06.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Vinotinto - Atlético Rojiblanco	3:0 ✺
22.05.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLWT
- CD El Nacional
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.06.26	El Nacional - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Cuenca Juniors - El Nacional	4:1 ✺
31.05.26	El Nacional - LDU Portoviejo	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
28.05.26	El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:4 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.05.26	San Antonio - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
16.04.26	El Nacional - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:1

Atlético Rojiblanco - El Nacional: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide