The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cuenca Juniors 62.1%
Draw 23%
El Nacional 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60%
24%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
17.6%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuenca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuenca Juniors than the current prediction. (-18%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cuenca Juniors that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cuenca Juniors - El Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, ⚽,
39', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
Cuenca Juniors is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
El Nacional is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Cuenca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cuenca Juniors is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cuenca Juniors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Ecuador
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