Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 37

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Atlético Sanluqueño		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.15	3.25	3.25
	2.11	3.22	3.55
	2.11	3.22	3.55
	2.07	3.25	3.43
	2.05	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.21)	3.23 (3.23)	3.37 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Sanluqueño
44.3%

Draw
28.4%

San Fernando
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.6%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Sanluqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Atlético Sanluqueño - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez S. (G) 23. Coke 20. Roman F. 5. Rojas J. 8. Carbonell P. 18. Guti A. 14. Vacaz L. 22. Gonzalez J. 16. Garcia Perez J. L. 19. Mwepu F. 9. Cabrera A.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Lillo 4. Farrando M. 23. Ramirez J. 3. Ruiz L. 14. Fullana F. 6. Molina D. 19. Martinez P. 10. Ramos D. 17. Sanchez A. 11. Aquino D.
Substitutes
15. Bastida A. 6. Calderon M. 4. Cortijo A. 3. Diaz V. 10. Escardo A. 13. Flere J. (G) 2. Ghailan Z. 30. Gonzalez Macho J. 24. Lugo P. (G) 7. Ramon N. 21. Rodriguez A. 12. Sanchez A. 11. Talaveron D.	13. Arana E. (G) 21. Arroyo N. 7. Biabiany J. 22. Davila Y. 30. Duarte M. (G) 16. Herrera C. 20. Masogo A. 18. Naveira U. 9. Ribeiro 34. Rueda A. 15. Ruiz V. 36. Sanchez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Lillo 🟨,
32', Carbonell P. ↓, Diaz V. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lillo ↓, Davila Y. ↑,
62', Aquino D. ↓, Biabiany J. ↑,
67', Vacaz L. ↓, Calderon M. ↑,
67', Cabrera A. ↓, Ramon N. ↑,
67', Guti A. ↓, Ghailan Z. ↑,
75', 🟨,
75', Coke ↓, Cortijo A. ↑,
77', Sanchez A. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
77', Martinez P. ↓, Ribeiro ↑,
82', Garcia Perez J. L. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, Ribeiro ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Sanluqueño won 1.

Recent matches Atlético Sanluqueño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Fernando is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Sanluqueño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético Sanluqueño will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Atlético Sanluqueño won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Sanluqueño won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.05.24	Córdoba - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0 ✺
04.05.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Mérida AD - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Antequera - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTWL
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.05.24	San Fernando - Málaga	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Melilla - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	San Fernando - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Granada B - San Fernando	5:0 ✺
13.04.24	San Fernando - Intercity	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.01.24	San Fernando - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0
03.04.22	Atlético Sanluqueño - San Fernando	1:0
20.11.21	San Fernando - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
31.01.21	San Fernando - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0
01.11.20	Atlético Sanluqueño - San Fernando	1:3
15.12.19	Atlético Sanluqueño - San Fernando	0:0
03.02.19	Atlético Sanluqueño - San Fernando	1:2

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