Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday

Location: Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny (Aubagne)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Aubagne		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3.28	3.25	2.31
	3.08	3.15	2.24	Watch
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.18	3.13	2.23
	3.1	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.55)	3.18 ↓ (3.29)	2.22 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubagne
29.6%

Draw
29%

Le Mans
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

28.4%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

27.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aubagne - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lavallee L. (G) 22. Amiri Y. 10. Benhattab Y. 20. Boudraa S. 19. Karamoko S. 3. Khatir F. 4. Khetir C. 23. Mouton E. 21. Ndiaye O. 24. Nehari M. 9. Nsimba S.	16. Kocik N. (G) 11. Colas E. 21. Eyoum T. 25. Gueye D. 8. Lauray A. 34. Matumona J. 23. Nonnenmacher M. 26. Oggad B. 12. Ribelin A. 5. Voyer H. 17. Yohou S.
Substitutes
30. Gil J. (G) 12. M'Dahoma K. 5. Rouai M. 7. Sanghare S. 11. Tafni B.	33. Bernardeau G. 22. Calodat L. 13. Keita T. 31. Tronchet N. 15. Vula A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Benhattab Y. ⚽,
22', Lauray A. 🟨,
34', Eyoum T. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
45', Boudraa S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Calodat L. ↓, Vula A. ↑,
61', Ribelin A. ↓, Keita T. ↑,
63', Boudraa S. ↓, M'Dahoma K. ↑,
75', Amiri Y. ↓, Rouai M. ↑,
81', Keita T. 🟨,
83', Benhattab Y. ↓, Sanghare S. ↑,
83', Khetir C. ↓, Tafni B. ↑,
84', Voyer H. ↓, Tronchet N. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).

Aubagne is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Le Mans is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Le Mans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Le Mans will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
23.10.24	Aubagne - Quevilly	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Bourg-Péronnas - Aubagne	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Aubagne - Boulogne	3:0 ✺
27.09.24	Dijon - Aubagne	1:0 ✺
20.09.24	Aubagne - Sochaux	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWLL
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
01.11.24	Le Mans - Nancy	0:4 ✺
23.10.24	Paris 13 Atletico - Le Mans	2:3 ✺
18.10.24	Châteauroux - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Quevilly - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
20.09.24	Le Mans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL

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