Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 26

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
World	Onefootball


	Salernitana		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.48	4.05	5.9	Watch
	1.47	3.93	6.85
	1.48	3.97	6.23	Watch
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.53	3.78	5.47	Watch
	1.47	4	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.4)	3.87 ↓ (4.46)	6.19 ↓ (6.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Salernitana
61.5%

Draw
23.7%

Casarano
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

20.6%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

19.9%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salernitana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Salernitana - Casarano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma A. (G) 2. Berra F. 5. Capomaggio G. 23. Arena M. 14. Villa L. 4. Gyabuaa M. 21. Carriero G. 28. Longobardi G. 25. Molina J. I. 7. Achik I. 32. Lescano F.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 5. Celiento D. 25. Bachini M. 33. Mercadante M. 27. Versienti L. 8. D'Alena A. 11. Ferrara V. 3. Giraudo F. 10. Chirico C. 46. Leonetti V. 16. Santarcangelo A.
Substitutes
33. Anastasio A. 12. Brancolini F. (G) 6. de Boer K. 10. Ferrari F. 20. Ferraris A. 18. Golemic V. 26. Matino E. 24. Quirini E. 29. Tascone M.	26. Barone A. 77. Cajazzo I. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 80. Di Dio F. 24. Gega E. 9. Grandolfo F. 29. Gyamfi B. 67. Jacopo L. 64. Martina M. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Molina J. I. ⚽,
20', Ferrara V. 🟨,
33', Molina J. I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', Gyabuaa M. 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, Lescano F. ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, Lescano F. ⚽,
71', Leonetti V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
71', Versienti L. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
75', Molina J. I. ↓, Matino E. ↑,
75', Lescano F. ↓, Ferrari F. ↑,
75', Arena M. ↓, de Boer K. ↑,
76', D'Alena A. ↓, Palumbo F. ↑,
76', Santarcangelo A. ↓, Grandolfo F. ↑,
78', Cerbone S. 🟨,
80', Gyabuaa M. ↓, Tascone M. ↑,
84', Carriero G. ↓, Quirini E. ↑,
85', Mercadante M. ↓, Gyamfi B. ↑,
90+2', Capomaggio G. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Salernitana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Salernitana is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Salernitana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Salernitana	8	3	3	2	12:10	2	12
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
06.02.26	Audace Cerignola - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Salernitana - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Sorrento - Salernitana	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Atalanta U23 - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
12.01.26	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWWT
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
07.02.26	Casarano - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cavese - Casarano	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Casarano - Picerno	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Benevento - Casarano	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Casarano - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
28.09.25	Casarano - Salernitana	2:2

Upcoming Matches