Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti (Cava de' Tirreni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Cavese		Crotone

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.05
	3.25	3.15	2.21
	3.28	3.31	2.13	Watch
	3.4	3.34	1.98
	3.33	3.33	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.09 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
27.8%

Draw
28.1%

Crotone
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.2%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

27.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cavese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Cavese - Crotone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Crotone (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boffelli V. (G) 3. Luciani A. 15. Cionek T. (C) 17. Nunziata F. 77. Amerighi I. 23. Munari D. 5. Awua T. 28. Macchi M. 24. Orlando F. 7. Sorrentino D. 82. Fusco G.	1. Merelli D. (G) 2. Leo D. 6. Di Pasquale D. 20. Berra F. 23. Groppelli F. 16. Gallo A. 21. Sandri M. 96. Zunno M. 18. Piovanello E. 27. Maggio M. 9. Gomez G.
Substitutes
8. Barone M. 73. Bolcano D. 11. Diarrassouba A. 70. D'Incoronato F. 2. Di Paola M. 13. Evangelisti N. 21. Fornito G. 9. Guida A. 33. Iuliano S. (G) 20. Maiolo F. 22. Manzo F. (G) 14. Pelamatti A. 18. Piana L. 4. Suplja E. 16. Ubaldi L.	80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 5. Cargnelutti R. 72. Cocetta N. 25. Guerra W. 19. Marazzotti F. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 61. Sala A. (G) 8. Stronati R. 77. Vrenna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Munari D. ⚽,
43', Macchi M. 🟨,
45+1', Amerighi I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Leo D. ↓, Cargnelutti R. ↑,
46', Gallo A. ↓, Vinicius ↑,
46', Piovanello E. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
53', Fusco G. 🟨,
54', Fusco G. ↓, Ubaldi L. ↑,
64', Groppelli F. ↓, Bruno K. ↑,
68', Amerighi I. ↓, Evangelisti N. ↑,
68', Orlando F. ↓, Fornito G. ↑,
73', Evangelisti N. 🟨,
74', Berra F. 🟨,
82', Cionek T. 🟨,
83', Munari D. ↓, Barone M. ↑,
83', Luciani A. ↓, Piana L. ↑,
89', Ubaldi L. 🟨,
90+5', Cargnelutti R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Crotone might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cavese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cavese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Crotone - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.05%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
19.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Cavese	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Cavese - Trapani	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Salernitana - Cavese	3:2 ✺
28.09.25	Monopoli - Cavese	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Cavese - Latina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLLWL
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
18.10.25	Crotone - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Foggia - Crotone	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Crotone - Picerno	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Crotone - Casertana	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Atalanta U23 - Crotone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
04.01.25	Crotone - Cavese	1:1
02.09.24	Cavese - Crotone	2:1

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