Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Domenico Monterisi (Cerignola) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Galiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Audace Cerignola		Savoia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.50	3.80
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	1.98	3.47	3.87
	1.77	3.6	4.09	Watch
	1.96	3.25	3.8
	1.95	3.42	3.79	Watch
	1.84	3.45	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.78)	3.44 (3.44)	3.84 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
49.2%

Draw
26.8%

Savoia
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.8%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

28.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audace Cerignola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Audace Cerignola - Savoia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Viola A. (G) 55. Cocorocchio M. 23. Gasbarro A. (C) 24. Romano A. 4. Vitale G. 68. Sellaf M. 58. Cretella C. 11. Volpe G. 37. Silvestro A. 10. D'Orazio L. 14. Padula C.	22. Leonardo M. (G) 33. D'Amore F. 26. Noce M. (C) 30. Fabriani C. 15. Zoboletti A. 14. Tumbarello G. 6. Alfieri V. 18. Martina A. 8. Meola F. 90. Nepi A. 9. Scotti F.
Substitutes
17. Amiranda F. 21. Casarosa M. 9. Gambale D. 18. Guaragna C. 19. Iorio A. 2. Kurti A. 44. Miranda K. 8. Moreso O. 20. Nanula M. 99. Parlato C. 77. Pinotti M. 80. Seminari G. 3. Sena F. 1. Vailati A. (G)	12. Albanese P. (G) 85. Basile P. 1. Bethers K. (G) 77. Ferrara L. 21. Fiasco A. 28. Gemello A. 4. Patrignani G. 17. Polizzi M. 35. Portanova D. 11. Riccardi P. 45. Yeboah P.
Coaches
Catalano R.	Formisano A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, D'Orazio L. ⚽,
8', Martina A. 🟨,
18', 2 - 0, Volpe G. ⚽,
22', 3 - 0, Volpe G. ⚽, Silvestro A. (A),
37', Cocorocchio M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gasbarro A. ↓, Kurti A. ↑,
46', Alfieri V. ↓, Riccardi P. ↑,
46', Nepi A. ↓, Yeboah P. ↑,
59', Meola F. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Yeboah P. 🟨,
70', Volpe G. ↓, Pinotti M. ↑,
71', Zoboletti A. ↓, Fiasco A. ↑,
76', Sellaf M. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
76', Silvestro A. ↓, Miranda K. ↑,
81', Meola F. ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,
87', Scotti F. ↓, Gemello A. ↑,
89', D'Orazio L. ↓, Nanula M. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Nanula M. ⚽, Padula C. (A),

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 15th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Audace Cerignola may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Audace Cerignola for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Audace Cerignola has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:1 (averaging 2:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Audace Cerignola against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Audace Cerignola	11	5	2	4	18:11	7	17
17	Savoia	11	2	5	4	12:17	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
10.10.26	Crotone - Audace Cerignola	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Audace Cerignola - Altamura	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLTL
- US Savoia
Italian Serie C Group C
10.10.26	Savoia - Inter U23	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Monopoli - Savoia	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Cavese - Savoia	4:2 ✺
19.09.26	Savoia - Casarano	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Foggia - Savoia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Play Offs
12.05.19	Audace Cerignola - Savoia	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group H
24.02.19	Audace Cerignola - Savoia	2:0
03.11.18	Savoia - Audace Cerignola	0:2

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