Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Augsburg		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.9	2	Watch
	3.25	3.95	2.02	Watch
	3.36	4.09	2.09
	88.09	18.79	1.00	Watch
				Watch
	3.41	4.18	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	20.27 ↑ (3.38)	6.98 ↑ (4.1)	1.84 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
6.7%

Draw
19.4%

RB Leipzig
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

23.3%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

23.3%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Augsburg's form might have worsened.

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RB Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+21.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Augsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-25.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RB Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.9%	9.8%	85.4%

Augsburg - RB Leipzig Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - RB Leipzig (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - RB Leipzig (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (35 of 41 users predict this - 85.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.55% – 96.19%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 17. Jakic K. (C) 5. Matsima C. 40. Banks N. 30. Kade A. 4. Massengo H. 19. Fellhauer R. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 26. Saad E.	1. Gulacsi P. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. (C) 20. Ouedraogo A. 13. Seiwald N. 14. Baumgartner C. 49. Diomande Y. 40. Romulo Cardoso 7. Nusa A.
Substitutes
28. Dardari A. 9. Essende S. 11. Gharbi I. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 8. Rexhbecaj E. 31. Schlotterbeck K. 21. Tietz P. 27. Wolf M. 16. Zesiger C.	9. Bakayoko J. 6. Banzuzi E. 5. Bitshiabu E. 27. Gomis T. 11. Harder C. 16. Klostermann L. 33. Maksimovic A. 24. Schlager X. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G)
Coaches
Wagner S.	Werner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
10', 0 - 1, Diomande Y. ⚽, Romulo Cardoso (A),
18', 0 - 2, Romulo Cardoso ⚽, Ouedraogo A. (A),
22', 0 - 3, Nusa A. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
24', Claude-Maurice A. 🟨,
28', Banks N. 🟨,
38', 0 - 4, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 5, Ouedraogo A. ⚽, Baumgartner C. (A),
63', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
63', Diomande Y. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
63', Baumgartner C. ↓, Schlager X. ↑,
64', Saad E. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
65', Rieder F. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
65', Giannoulis D. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
65', 0 - 6, Lukeba C. ⚽,
70', Orban W. ↓, Bitshiabu E. ↑,
70', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
77', Kade A. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
77', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Dardari A. ↑,
89', Dardari A. 🟨,
90+2', Schlager X. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 0.

Augsburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

RB Leipzig is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

RB Leipzig will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Finkgrafe M. (Knee Injury) Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nedeljkovic K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Bakayoko J. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:40. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Köln - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.25	Augsburg - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.10.25	Augsburg - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Heidenheim - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Augsburg - Mainz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWLL
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	RB Leipzig - Köln	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Mainz - RB Leipzig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.02.25	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:0
28.09.24	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	4:0
10.02.24	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	2:2
16.09.23	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	3:0
15.04.23	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	3:2
22.10.22	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	3:3
08.05.22	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	4:0

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