Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Augsburg		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.45
	2.78	3.45	2.48
	2.63	3.6	2.79
	1.60	3.76	5.80	Watch
				Watch
	2.82	3.68	2.57	Watch
	2.73	3.5	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.66)	3.58 ↓ (3.58)	3.05 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
39.4%

Draw
27.9%

Wolfsburg
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	11.1%	74.1%

Augsburg - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Wolfsburg (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Augsburg (1.85) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Wolfsburg (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Wolfsburg (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Wolfsburg (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 5. Matsima C. 17. Jakic K. 40. Banks N. 19. Fellhauer R. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 4. Massengo H. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 26. Saad E. 36. Komur M.	1. Grabara K. (G) 2. Fischer K. 15. Jenz M. 4. Koulierakis K. 21. Maehle J. 27. Arnold M. (C) 5. Vini Souza 11. Daghim A. 32. Svanberg M. 9. Amoura M. 17. Pejcinovic D.
Substitutes
20. Claude-Maurice A. 28. Dardari A. 9. Essende S. 11. Gharbi I. 30. Kade A. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 31. Schlotterbeck K. 21. Tietz P. 16. Zesiger C.	8. Dardai B. 24. Eriksen C. 31. Gerhardt Y. 26. Kumbedi S. 10. Majer L. 29. Muller M. (G) 14. Seelt J. 7. Skov Olsen A. 25. Zehnter A.
Coaches
Wagner S.	Simonis P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Banks N. ⚽, Komur M. (A),
6', Banks N. 🟨,
39', Jenz M. 🟨,
41', Giannoulis D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Skov Olsen A. ↑,
46', Vini Souza ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Komur M. ⚽, Matsima C. (A),
63', 3 - 0, Fellhauer R. ⚽, Rieder F. (A),
65', 3 - 1, Daghim A. ⚽, Amoura M. (A),
71', Giannoulis D. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
78', Svanberg M. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
79', Saad E. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
84', Banks N. ↓, Zesiger C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 3.

Augsburg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wolfsburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Injury) Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Kade A. (Ankle Injury) Maier A. (Illness)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Skov Olsen A. (Injury) Wind J. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
27.09.25	Heidenheim - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Augsburg - Mainz	1:4 ✺
14.09.25	St. Pauli - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.25	Augsburg - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
27.09.25	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Wolfsburg - Köln	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Wolfsburg - Mainz	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
15.03.25	Augsburg - Wolfsburg	1:0
02.11.24	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	1:1
16.03.24	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	1:3
28.10.23	Augsburg - Wolfsburg	3:2
01.04.23	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	2:2
Club Friendly
14.01.23	Augsburg - Wolfsburg	1:0
14.01.23	Augsburg - Wolfsburg	0:4

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