Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bochum		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.12	3.6	3	Watch
	2.31	3.81	3.1
	2.24	3.54	2.99	Watch
	2.17	3.7	3.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.25)	3.63 ↓ (3.7)	3.06 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
43%

Draw
26.1%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

25%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Bochum - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Fortuna will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 7. Vogt K. 20. Loosli N. 35. Koscierski K. 8. Watjen K. 34. Lenz C. 32. Wittek M. 19. Bero M. (C) 17. Holtmann G. 33. Hofmann P.	33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 12. Fridriksson V. 15. Oberdorf T. 2. Daland J. 5. Heyer M. 24. Muslija F. 14. Alexandropoulos S. 6. Breithaupt T. 8. El Azzouzi A. 19. Iyoha E. 13. Itten C.
Substitutes
29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 14. Clairicia M. 5. Kleine-Bekel C. 21. Onyeka F. 24. Pannewig M. 15. Passlack F. 9. Sissoko I. 3. Strompf P. 22. Thiede N. (G)	9. Celar Z. 30. de Wijs J. 11. Hettwer J. 1. Lotka M. (G) 10. Rasmussen C. 22. Schmidt D. 4. Schmidt K. 46. Suso S. 25. Zimmermann M.
Coaches
Siebers D.	Thioune D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Oberdorf T. ⚽, Itten C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Watjen K. 🟨,
66', Watjen K. ↓, Onyeka F. ↑,
71', Daland J. 🟨,
72', Iyoha E. ↓, Zimmermann M. ↑,
72', Fridriksson V. ↓, Hettwer J. ↑,
74', Wittek M. 🟨,
75', Holtmann G. ↓, Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↑,
75', Hofmann P. ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
84', Alexandropoulos S. ↓, de Wijs J. ↑,
86', Alfa-Ruprecht F. 🟨,
88', Lenz C. 🟨,
89', Lenz C. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
90+3', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
90+5', Kastenmeier F. 🟨,
90+5', Koscierski K. 🟨,
90+6', Heyer M. ↓, Schmidt K. ↑,
90+6', Muslija F. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 2.

Bochum has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fortuna is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fortuna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bochum is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bochum: Kwarteng M. (Ankle Injury) Miyoshi K. (Muscle Injury) Sissoko I. (Collarbone injury)

There will not play in Fortuna: Affo K. (Muscle Injury) Anhari H. (Injury) Appelkamp S. (Muscle Injury) Egouli E. (Muscle Injury) Lenz C. (Muscle Injury) Raimund L. (Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Strompf P. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.25	Nürnberg - Bochum	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Paderborn - Bochum	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Bochum - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Bochum - Preußen Münster	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Schalke 04 - Bochum	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
21.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Preußen Münster - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Schweinfurt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
27.05.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Bochum	0:4 penalties
23.05.24	Bochum - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Bochum	3:1
22.09.22	Bochum - Fortuna Düsseldorf	Canceled
27.01.22	Bochum - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2
German 2 Bundesliga
22.03.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Bochum	0:3
30.11.20	Bochum - Fortuna Düsseldorf	5:0

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