Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Guillermo Slowing (Amatitlan) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	11:30	FOX Sports
Usa	13:30	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes


	Aurora		Deportivo San Pedro

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.10	3.70
	1.9	2.72	4.4
	1.93	2.94	4.99
	1.95	2.88	4.78	Watch
	1.89	2.75	4.9
	1.99	2.94	4.4	Watch
	1.92	2.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.81)	2.88 ↓ (3.2)	4.52 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
47.8%

Draw
31.9%

Deportivo San Pedro
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.8%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Deportivo San Pedro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo San Pedro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Aurora - Deportivo San Pedro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sanchez L. (G) 3. Acosta M. 57. Aguilar L. 17. Bajan D. 25. Diaz A. 14. Echeverria Perez A. J. 27. Flores C. 18. Grajeda J. 13. Morales H. 45. Moran 10. Vivas J.	. Mendez R. (G) 99. Aguila G. 2. Alvarez D. . Calderon L. 8. Chacon J. . dos Santos I. 97. Fajardo J. 4. Gaitan M. 15. Gomez R. 10. Macal E. 77. Navas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Moran 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Gomez R. ⚽,
31', Flores C. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Aguilar L. ↓, Urias V. ↑,
46', Echeverria Perez A. J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
46', Moran ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Morales H. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Morales H. ⚽,
62', Fajardo J. ↓, Colon S. ↑,
62', Macal E. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
62', Calderon L. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
68', Aguila G. ↓, Aldana B. ↑,
75', Morales H. ↓, Ibarguen E. ↑,
80', Gaitan M. ↓, de Leon B. ↑,
83', de Leon B. 🟨,
85', de Leon B. 🟥,
90+5', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Aurora could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Aurora for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Aurora has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Deportivo San Pedro	16	6	5	5	20:19	1	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
14.10.26	Comunicaciones - Aurora	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Aurora - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Aurora	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Cobán Imperial - Aurora	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Aurora - Marquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLLW
- Deportivo San Pedro
Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.10.26	Suchitepéquez - Deportivo San Pedro	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Xelajú - Deportivo San Pedro	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo San Pedro	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Cobán Imperial	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
16.08.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Aurora	2:1

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